경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Second League Bulgaria · Regular Season - 8

FratriaHOME · 1.53

2 : 22026.09.08 · 종료

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAWAY · 5.25

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 14 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 11 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.6%

DRAW44.1%

AWAY12.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK DRAW 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +19.3%

VALUE EDGE+19.3%

FAIR ODDS2.27

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 98/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +33.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +31.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +9.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Fratria분석 지표Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

0.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.50

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

5.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.2 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME58.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승60.3%표본 73경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -12.6%

OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.53배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:16

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

43.6%

DRAW

44.1%

AWAY

12.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Fratria

D · 1-1W · 1-0D · 2-2W · 2-0W · 0-2

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

W · 1-0W · 0-3L · 1-0L · 0-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.62

→

CURRENT1.54

-5.13%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.56

→

CURRENT3.59

+0.98%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.77

→

CURRENT5.24

+9.86%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 11:52:12	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:02:11	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:12:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:22:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:32:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:42:08	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 12:52:11	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:02:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:12:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:22:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:32:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:42:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 13:52:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:02:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:12:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:22:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:32:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:42:08	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 14:52:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 15:02:10	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 15:12:09	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 15:22:11	1.62	3.56	4.77
2026-09-07 15:32:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 15:42:09	1.48	3.71	5.82
2026-09-07 15:42:10	1.47	3.88	6.14
2026-09-07 15:52:12	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:02:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:12:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:22:11	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:32:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:42:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 16:52:11	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:02:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:12:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:22:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:32:10	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:42:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 17:52:12	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 18:02:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 18:12:09	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 18:22:11	1.48	3.74	5.87
2026-09-07 18:32:12	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 18:42:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 18:52:14	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:02:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:12:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:22:16	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:32:14	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:42:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 19:52:15	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 20:02:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 20:12:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 20:22:15	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 20:32:13	1.55	3.58	5.19
2026-09-07 20:32:14	1.57	3.63	5.20
2026-09-07 20:42:13	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 20:52:15	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 21:02:14	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 21:12:12	1.55	3.60	5.17
2026-09-07 21:12:13	1.57	3.60	5.40
2026-09-07 21:22:15	1.55	3.60	5.19
2026-09-07 21:22:17	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 21:32:15	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 21:42:15	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 21:52:16	1.53	3.59	5.30
2026-09-07 21:52:17	1.55	3.58	5.15
2026-09-07 22:02:13	1.53	3.59	5.32
2026-09-07 22:02:14	1.54	3.59	5.15
2026-09-07 22:12:16	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 22:22:18	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 22:32:16	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 22:42:15	1.54	3.53	5.20
2026-09-07 22:42:16	1.54	3.63	5.27
2026-09-07 22:52:17	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:02:14	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:12:15	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:22:16	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:32:16	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:42:14	1.54	3.59	5.24
2026-09-07 23:52:16	1.54	3.59	5.24

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Fratria	2 : 2	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas