경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Second League Bulgaria · Regular Season - 7

MarekHOME · 1.65

1 : 02026.09.02 · 종료

NesebarAWAY · 4.88

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 7 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 10 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.1%

DRAW28.3%

AWAY28.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW38 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 38/100

AI PICK HOME 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +10.1%

VALUE EDGE+10.1%

FAIR ODDS3.49

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 35/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -11.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET HOME +36.3%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -18.3%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Marek분석 지표Nesebar

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

38/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지7.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.6 / 15

예측 분리도6.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승62.1%표본 95경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승38.5%현재 이동 +10.4%

OPEN → NOW1.50 → 1.65배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:19

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

43.1%

DRAW

28.3%

AWAY

28.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Marek

D · 0-0W · 4-2L · 1-0L · 1-0L · 2-1

Nesebar

D · 1-1W · 7-0W · 0-1W · 2-0L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.62

→

CURRENT1.64

+1.46%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.47

→

CURRENT3.37

-2.96%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.93

→

CURRENT4.86

-1.32%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 09:32:48	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 09:42:33	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 09:52:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:02:17	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:12:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:22:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:32:22	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:42:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 10:52:24	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 11:02:16	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 11:12:16	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 11:22:17	1.61	3.47	5.00
2026-09-02 11:22:18	1.64	3.47	4.78
2026-09-02 11:32:16	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 11:42:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 11:52:19	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:02:34	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:12:17	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:22:19	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:32:31	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:42:25	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 12:52:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:02:16	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:12:15	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:22:27	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:32:52	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:42:22	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 13:52:20	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 14:02:21	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 14:12:14	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 14:22:25	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 14:32:19	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 14:42:15	1.61	3.47	5.00
2026-09-02 14:42:16	1.64	3.47	4.78
2026-09-02 14:52:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 15:02:17	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 15:12:14	1.64	3.44	4.80
2026-09-02 15:12:15	1.61	3.48	4.96
2026-09-02 15:22:18	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 15:32:15	1.62	3.47	4.93
2026-09-02 15:42:16	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 15:52:19	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 16:02:17	1.67	3.27	4.72
2026-09-02 16:02:18	1.65	3.39	4.80
2026-09-02 16:12:15	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 16:22:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 16:32:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 16:42:16	1.64	3.35	4.87
2026-09-02 16:42:17	1.67	3.37	4.69
2026-09-02 16:52:19	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:02:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:12:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:22:19	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:32:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:42:15	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 17:52:18	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 18:02:15	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 18:12:16	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 18:22:17	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 18:32:16	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:02:20	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:12:18	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:22:20	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:32:20	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:42:18	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 19:52:20	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 20:02:18	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 20:12:19	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 20:22:21	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 20:32:20	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 20:42:18	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 21:02:19	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 21:22:23	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 21:42:27	1.65	3.36	4.78
2026-09-02 22:02:20	1.64	3.37	4.86
2026-09-02 22:22:24	1.64	3.37	4.86
2026-09-02 22:42:21	1.64	3.37	4.86
2026-09-02 23:02:19	1.64	3.37	4.86
2026-09-02 23:22:26	1.64	3.37	4.86
2026-09-02 23:42:19	1.64	3.37	4.86

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Marek	1 : 0	Nesebar