경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Spain · Group 2 - 3

Atlético Madrid IIHOME · 2.27
4 : 02026.09.14 · 종료
Real MurciaAWAY · 2.95

HOME · 현재 순위
2위
승점 7
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
6위
승점 6
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.9%
DRAW25.1%
AWAY48.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW39 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승40.7%표본 231경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.2%현재 이동 -5.8%
OPEN → NOW2.41 → 2.27배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:52:57
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atlético Madrid IIW · 0-2D · 2-2L · 1-2L · 2-0
Real MurciaW · 1-2W · 4-0W · 1-2D · 1-1W · 1-4
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME71 SNAPSHOTS
-4.73%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW71 SNAPSHOTS
+2.92%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY71 SNAPSHOTS
+4.70%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 12:15:19 | 2.40 | 3.06 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 00:22:51 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 00:52:30 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 01:22:47 | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 01:22:48 | 2.40 | 3.12 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-13 01:52:36 | 2.34 | 3.08 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-13 01:52:37 | 2.41 | 3.10 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-13 02:22:47 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 02:22:58 | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 02:22:59 | 2.40 | 3.12 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-13 02:52:43 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 03:23:04 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 03:23:05 | 2.38 | 3.12 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 03:52:28 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-13 03:52:29 | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-13 04:22:30 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 04:52:38 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 05:22:37 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-13 05:22:38 | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-13 05:52:38 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 06:22:53 | 2.37 | 3.08 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 06:22:54 | 2.42 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 06:52:58 | 2.33 | 3.01 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 06:52:59 | 2.40 | 3.14 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-13 07:23:04 | 2.37 | 3.09 | 2.84 |
| 2026-09-13 07:52:20 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-13 07:52:21 | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-13 08:22:58 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 08:52:27 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:36 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 09:52:29 | 2.31 | 3.11 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 09:52:30 | 2.35 | 3.07 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 10:22:45 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 10:52:33 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:35 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:36 | 2.32 | 3.13 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 11:52:40 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 12:22:47 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 12:52:27 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:35 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:36 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:37 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 14:22:44 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 14:52:27 | 2.29 | 3.07 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 14:52:28 | 2.35 | 3.15 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:35 | 2.29 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:36 | 2.31 | 3.02 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-13 16:02:55 | 2.30 | 3.08 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 16:43:20 | 2.30 | 3.11 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 16:43:21 | 2.30 | 3.03 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-13 17:23:31 | 2.27 | 3.01 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 17:23:32 | 2.29 | 3.12 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 18:02:15 | 2.28 | 3.09 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 18:43:50 | 2.28 | 3.08 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 18:43:51 | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-13 19:23:38 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 19:23:39 | 2.28 | 3.11 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:52 | 2.28 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:53 | 2.29 | 3.11 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:55 | 2.29 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 20:43:32 | 2.29 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 21:23:11 | 2.29 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 21:52:50 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 21:52:51 | 2.29 | 3.09 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 22:23:39 | 2.27 | 3.07 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 22:23:40 | 2.31 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-13 22:53:07 | 2.27 | 3.11 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-13 23:23:27 | 2.26 | 3.13 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 23:23:28 | 2.29 | 3.08 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 23:52:56 | 2.25 | 3.03 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-13 23:52:57 | 2.29 | 3.15 | 2.93 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | Atlético Madrid II | 4 : 0 | Real Murcia |