경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Spain · Group 2 - 2

HérculesHOME · 2.01

0 : 22026.09.07 · 종료

Atlético Madrid IIAWAY · 3.32

HOME · 현재 순위 17위 승점 0 · 1경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 1 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.6%

DRAW28.9%

AWAY52.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW38 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 38/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +25.2%

VALUE EDGE+25.2%

FAIR ODDS1.91

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 74/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -2.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.5%p

MARKET HOME +17.7%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -32.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Hércules분석 지표Atlético Madrid II

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.43

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.71

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

38/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지7.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도10.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승51.9%표본 270경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.3%현재 이동 -10.7%

OPEN → NOW2.25 → 2.01배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:41

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

18.6%

DRAW

28.9%

AWAY

52.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Hércules

L · 1-2L · 1-0D · 0-0W · 0-2L · 0-2

Atlético Madrid II

D · 2-2L · 1-2L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.25

→

CURRENT2.02

-10.45%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.11

→

CURRENT3.20

+2.92%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.91

→

CURRENT3.39

+16.16%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 06:15:04	2.25	3.11	2.91
2026-09-05 18:15:28	2.25	3.11	2.91
2026-09-05 18:15:30	2.25	3.00	2.88
2026-09-05 18:15:31	2.25	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 00:12:30	2.25	3.11	2.91
2026-09-06 00:12:32	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 00:42:53	2.25	3.00	2.89
2026-09-06 00:42:54	2.27	3.19	2.94
2026-09-06 01:12:19	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 01:42:16	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 02:12:10	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 02:12:12	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 02:42:13	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 02:42:16	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 03:12:12	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 03:42:19	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 04:12:15	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 04:42:14	2.26	3.13	2.92
2026-09-06 05:12:20	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 05:42:49	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 06:12:13	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 06:42:49	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 07:12:42	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 07:42:49	2.26	3.10	2.92
2026-09-06 07:42:50	2.26	3.22	2.93
2026-09-06 08:12:31	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 08:42:46	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 09:12:19	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 09:42:41	2.25	3.00	2.89
2026-09-06 09:42:42	2.27	3.21	2.94
2026-09-06 10:12:23	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 10:42:48	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 11:12:48	2.26	3.10	2.92
2026-09-06 11:12:49	2.26	3.22	2.93
2026-09-06 11:42:48	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 12:12:13	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 12:42:59	2.25	3.00	2.88
2026-09-06 12:43:00	2.26	3.16	2.93
2026-09-06 13:12:18	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 13:42:29	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 14:12:44	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 14:42:50	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 15:12:49	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 15:42:20	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 16:12:43	2.26	3.14	2.91
2026-09-06 16:12:44	2.26	3.14	2.96
2026-09-06 16:42:57	2.26	3.14	2.92
2026-09-06 17:12:57	2.26	3.12	2.91
2026-09-06 17:12:58	2.26	3.23	2.92
2026-09-06 17:42:52	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 18:12:50	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 18:43:21	2.26	3.12	2.91
2026-09-06 18:43:22	2.26	3.23	2.92
2026-09-06 19:23:23	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 19:23:25	2.26	3.16	2.91
2026-09-06 19:23:26	2.26	3.14	2.95
2026-09-06 20:03:41	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 20:42:59	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 21:22:46	2.26	3.16	2.92
2026-09-06 21:52:45	2.03	3.05	3.28
2026-09-06 21:52:46	2.01	3.27	3.44
2026-09-06 22:23:09	2.00	3.00	3.30
2026-09-06 22:23:10	2.02	3.24	3.40
2026-09-06 22:52:34	2.02	3.20	3.39
2026-09-06 23:22:48	2.02	3.20	3.39
2026-09-06 23:52:40	2.02	3.20	3.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Hércules	0 : 2	Atlético Madrid II