경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Spain · Group 1 - 4
CacereñoHOME · 1.92
3 : 02026.09.21 · 종료
Arenas GetxoAWAY · 3.71
HOME · 현재 순위
2위
승점 10
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
19위
승점 1
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.3%
DRAW7.4%
AWAY4.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM56 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승45.0%표본 131경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -6.3%
OPEN → NOW2.05 → 1.92배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:33:56
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
CacereñoL · 2-1W · 1-0W · 2-0D · 1-1W · 1-0
Arenas GetxoL · 1-2L · 4-1D · 1-1L · 1-0L · 5-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME60 SNAPSHOTS
-5.26%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW60 SNAPSHOTS
+2.74%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY60 SNAPSHOTS
+7.57%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:15:09 | 2.02 | 3.13 | 3.48 |
| 2026-09-19 12:15:10 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.52 |
| 2026-09-20 00:22:30 | 2.00 | 3.09 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:23 | 2.00 | 3.09 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 01:22:26 | 2.00 | 3.09 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 02:53:03 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 02:53:04 | 2.03 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:20 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:21 | 2.03 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-20 03:52:39 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 04:22:55 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:47 | 2.00 | 3.11 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:48 | 2.02 | 3.12 | 3.54 |
| 2026-09-20 05:22:40 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:03 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:03 | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:04 | 2.00 | 3.16 | 3.54 |
| 2026-09-20 06:53:02 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 07:23:27 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 07:23:28 | 2.03 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:24 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:36 | 2.00 | 3.11 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:37 | 2.02 | 3.12 | 3.54 |
| 2026-09-20 09:22:48 | 2.01 | 3.12 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:23 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:24 | 2.03 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:41 | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:42 | 2.01 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:05 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:06 | 2.03 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:18 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:11 | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:12 | 2.03 | 3.18 | 3.52 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:35 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:18 | 1.99 | 3.07 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:19 | 2.04 | 3.20 | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-20 14:42:51 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:36 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 15:52:56 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:04 | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:05 | 2.01 | 3.18 | 3.52 |
| 2026-09-20 16:52:50 | 2.02 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-20 17:23:38 | 2.00 | 3.13 | 3.48 |
| 2026-09-20 17:23:39 | 2.04 | 3.17 | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:08 | 1.90 | 3.13 | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:09 | 1.93 | 3.27 | 3.78 |
| 2026-09-20 18:23:37 | 1.91 | 3.17 | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-20 18:23:38 | 1.93 | 3.26 | 3.78 |
| 2026-09-20 19:03:42 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-20 19:03:43 | 1.92 | 3.25 | 3.77 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:18 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:08 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:16 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:05 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
| 2026-09-20 22:03:01 | 1.91 | 3.17 | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-20 22:03:02 | 1.93 | 3.26 | 3.78 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:28 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:29 | 1.92 | 3.25 | 3.77 |
| 2026-09-20 23:02:52 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
| 2026-09-20 23:33:56 | 1.92 | 3.21 | 3.74 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.21 | Cacereño | 3 : 0 | Arenas Getxo |