경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Spain · Group 1 - 2

PonferradinaHOME · 1.90

0 : 02026.09.05 · 종료

LugoAWAY · 4.06

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 3 · 1경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 3 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.8%

DRAW30.4%

AWAY27.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW39 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 39/100

AI PICK HOME 37.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +5.4%

VALUE EDGE+5.4%

FAIR ODDS3.59

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 35/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +5.5%p

MARKET HOME +25.6%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -7.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Ponferradina분석 지표Lugo

40.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 77.8%

1.10 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.44

1.20 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

6.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

39/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지7.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.0 / 15

예측 분리도4.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승52.8%표본 106경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.4%현재 이동 +5.6%

OPEN → NOW1.80 → 1.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:34

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

41.8%

DRAW

30.4%

AWAY

27.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Ponferradina

W · 0-1D · 2-2W · 0-3D · 1-1L · 4-0

Lugo

W · 1-3W · 1-0W · 2-1L · 1-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT1.90

+5.14%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.15

→

CURRENT3.07

-2.60%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.36

→

CURRENT4.04

-7.35%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:12:34	1.80	3.15	4.36
2026-09-04 01:12:35	1.80	3.32	4.43
2026-09-04 01:22:23	1.80	3.17	4.36
2026-09-04 01:22:24	1.80	3.33	4.48
2026-09-04 01:32:28	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 01:42:26	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 01:52:22	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 02:02:20	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 02:12:25	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 02:22:21	1.80	3.20	4.38
2026-09-04 03:12:31	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 03:22:33	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 03:32:31	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 03:42:30	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 03:52:31	1.88	2.95	4.05
2026-09-04 03:52:32	1.90	3.11	4.01
2026-09-04 04:12:29	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 04:32:30	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 04:52:32	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 05:12:31	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 05:32:32	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 05:52:32	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 06:12:30	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 06:32:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 06:32:33	1.90	3.10	3.99
2026-09-04 06:52:33	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 07:12:33	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 07:32:29	1.89	3.07	4.02
2026-09-04 07:32:30	1.99	3.15	4.00
2026-09-04 07:52:32	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 08:12:32	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 08:32:34	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 08:52:33	1.90	3.08	4.02
2026-09-04 09:12:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 09:32:34	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 09:52:32	1.89	3.02	4.02
2026-09-04 09:52:33	1.91	3.20	4.10
2026-09-04 10:12:30	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 10:32:33	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 10:52:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 11:12:31	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 11:32:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 11:52:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 12:12:31	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 12:32:34	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 12:52:31	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 13:12:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 13:32:30	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 13:52:33	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 14:12:30	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 14:32:32	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 14:52:33	1.89	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 15:12:31	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 15:32:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 15:52:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 16:12:30	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 16:32:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 16:52:32	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 17:12:32	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 17:32:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 17:52:35	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 18:12:31	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 18:32:35	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 18:52:34	1.85	3.10	4.20
2026-09-04 18:52:35	1.90	3.07	4.03
2026-09-04 19:12:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 19:32:31	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 19:52:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 20:12:31	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 20:32:35	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 20:52:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 21:12:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 21:32:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 21:52:34	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 22:12:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 22:32:35	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 22:52:37	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 23:12:37	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 23:32:33	1.90	3.07	4.04
2026-09-04 23:52:34	1.90	3.07	4.04

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Ponferradina	0 : 0	Lugo