경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

III Liga - Group 1 Poland · Group I - 7

Warta SieradzHOME · 1.67

4 : 12026.09.05 · 종료

Olimpia ElblągAWAY · 4.11

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 7 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 7 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.8%

DRAW26.2%

AWAY34.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +12.0%

VALUE EDGE+12.0%

FAIR ODDS2.94

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 63/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +6.6%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Warta Sieradz분석 지표Olimpia Elbląg

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.2 / 15

예측 분리도2.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승56.4%표본 110경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW1.67 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:34

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

39.8%

DRAW

26.2%

AWAY

34.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Warta Sieradz

L · 0-4W · 1-4D · 2-2W · 0-1L · 1-2

Olimpia Elbląg

L · 1-3D · 2-2L · 0-2W · 1-2W · 4-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.68

→

CURRENT1.66

-0.72%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.80

→

CURRENT3.74

-1.67%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY70 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.10

→

CURRENT4.18

+1.83%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 03:52:30	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 04:12:28	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 04:32:29	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 04:52:31	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 05:12:29	1.66	3.77	4.07
2026-09-04 05:12:30	1.69	3.83	4.13
2026-09-04 05:32:30	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 05:52:30	1.69	3.80	3.95
2026-09-04 05:52:31	1.67	3.80	4.16
2026-09-04 06:12:29	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 06:32:31	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 06:52:32	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 07:12:32	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 07:32:28	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 07:52:31	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 08:12:31	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 08:32:33	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 08:52:32	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 09:12:31	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 09:32:32	1.68	3.80	4.10
2026-09-04 09:52:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 10:12:29	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 10:32:31	1.81	3.68	3.57
2026-09-04 10:32:32	1.70	3.76	4.03
2026-09-04 10:52:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 11:12:30	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 11:32:30	1.81	3.68	3.57
2026-09-04 11:32:31	1.70	3.76	4.03
2026-09-04 11:52:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 12:12:30	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 12:32:33	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 12:52:30	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 13:12:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 13:32:29	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 13:52:32	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 14:12:28	1.74	3.72	3.80
2026-09-04 14:12:29	1.70	3.78	4.15
2026-09-04 14:32:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 14:52:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 15:12:30	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 15:12:31	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 15:32:31	1.73	3.74	3.90
2026-09-04 15:32:32	1.68	3.60	4.10
2026-09-04 15:32:33	1.66	3.75	4.18
2026-09-04 15:52:33	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 16:12:30	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 16:32:33	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 16:52:32	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 17:12:31	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 17:32:32	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 17:52:34	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 18:12:30	1.67	3.63	4.13
2026-09-04 18:12:31	1.66	3.78	4.19
2026-09-04 18:32:35	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 18:52:34	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 19:12:33	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 19:32:30	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 19:52:34	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 20:12:31	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 20:32:35	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 20:52:32	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 21:12:32	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 21:32:33	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 21:52:34	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 22:12:33	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 22:32:35	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 22:52:37	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 23:12:36	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 23:32:32	1.66	3.74	4.18
2026-09-04 23:52:34	1.66	3.74	4.18

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Warta Sieradz	4 : 1	Olimpia Elbląg