경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

III Liga - Group 2 Poland · Group II - 8

Polonia ŚrodaHOME · 1.42

4 : 32026.09.12 · 종료

Unia SwarzędzAWAY · 5.25

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 19 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 7 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%

DRAW17.0%

AWAY15.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 46.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +5.0%

VALUE EDGE+5.0%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +29.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +20.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +33.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.1%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Polonia Środa분석 지표Unia Swarzędz

75.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

2.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

6.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME62.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승70.8%표본 48경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -5.0%

OPEN → NOW1.50 → 1.42배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:19

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

67.8%

DRAW

17.0%

AWAY

15.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Polonia Środa

D · 4-4W · 3-2W · 4-3W · 2-3W · 4-1

Unia Swarzędz

D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 0-1W · 2-3L · 0-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.50

→

CURRENT1.43

-4.57%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.30

→

CURRENT4.41

+2.56%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.03

→

CURRENT5.39

+7.26%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 12:15:21	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 00:02:21	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 00:22:30	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 00:42:22	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 01:02:24	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 01:22:25	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 01:42:24	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 02:02:26	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 02:22:23	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 02:42:25	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 03:02:26	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 03:22:26	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 03:42:26	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 04:02:24	1.50	4.30	5.03
2026-09-11 04:22:29	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 04:42:27	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 05:02:26	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 05:22:27	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 05:42:26	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 06:02:27	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 06:22:26	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 06:42:27	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 07:02:26	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 07:22:26	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 07:42:25	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 08:02:25	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 08:22:23	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 08:42:21	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 09:02:22	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 09:22:21	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 09:42:20	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 10:02:21	1.48	4.53	5.12
2026-09-11 10:22:21	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 10:42:22	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 11:02:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 11:22:21	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 11:42:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 12:02:17	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 12:22:18	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 12:42:18	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 13:02:17	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 13:22:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 13:42:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 14:02:18	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 14:22:17	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 14:42:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 15:02:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 15:22:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 15:42:19	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 16:02:18	1.29	5.02	7.16
2026-09-11 16:22:18	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 16:42:18	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 17:02:18	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 17:22:19	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 17:42:17	1.44	4.41	5.17
2026-09-11 17:42:18	1.41	4.40	6.07
2026-09-11 18:02:17	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 18:22:17	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 18:42:18	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 19:02:17	1.44	4.49	5.37
2026-09-11 19:02:18	1.42	4.29	5.32
2026-09-11 19:22:20	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 19:42:18	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 20:02:16	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 20:22:16	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 20:42:19	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 21:02:21	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 21:22:17	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 21:42:20	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 22:02:17	1.43	4.41	5.35
2026-09-11 22:22:17	1.43	4.41	5.34
2026-09-11 22:42:19	1.43	4.41	5.34
2026-09-11 23:02:19	1.43	4.41	5.34
2026-09-11 23:22:18	1.43	4.41	5.34
2026-09-11 23:42:18	1.43	4.40	5.28
2026-09-11 23:42:19	1.43	4.41	5.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Polonia Środa	4 : 3	Unia Swarzędz