경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
III Liga - Group 2
Poland · Group II - 7

Grom Nowy StawHOME · 4.12
4 : 42026.09.05 · 종료
Polonia ŚrodaAWAY · 1.60

HOME · 현재 순위
13위
승점 6
· 6경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 18
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.4%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY68.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승25.5%표본 51경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.2%현재 이동 +0.5%
OPEN → NOW4.10 → 4.12배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:08
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Grom Nowy StawW · 2-4L · 3-4L · 4-2L · 1-2W · 0-2
Polonia ŚrodaW · 3-2W · 4-3W · 2-3W · 4-1W · 1-4
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME49 SNAPSHOTS
+0.81%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW49 SNAPSHOTS
+5.00%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY49 SNAPSHOTS
-0.62%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-04 18:15:25 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 00:22:32 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 00:52:33 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 01:22:32 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 01:22:42 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 01:52:32 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 01:52:42 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 02:22:32 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 02:22:43 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 02:52:34 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 02:52:44 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 03:22:37 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 03:52:29 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 04:22:30 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 05:02:30 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 05:42:28 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 06:22:29 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 07:02:28 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 07:42:29 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 08:22:30 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 09:02:28 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 09:42:27 | 4.31 | 4.17 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 11:02:52 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 11:43:09 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 12:22:51 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 13:03:19 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 13:42:28 | 4.23 | 3.93 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-05 13:42:29 | 4.32 | 4.01 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 14:23:14 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 15:03:50 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 15:42:30 | 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 16:32:07 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 17:12:04 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 17:52:04 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 18:32:06 | 3.95 | 3.93 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-05 18:32:07 | 4.23 | 4.18 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-05 19:12:04 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 19:43:48 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 19:52:05 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 20:22:57 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 20:32:03 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 21:04:08 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 21:12:05 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 21:42:31 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 21:52:04 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 22:32:07 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 23:12:05 | 4.10 | 4.06 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-05 23:12:06 | 4.20 | 4.16 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-05 23:52:08 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.05 | Grom Nowy Staw | 4 : 4 | Polonia Środa |