경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
League One
England · Regular Season - 4
LutonHOME · 2.45
2 : 02026.09.03 · 종료
Stockport CountyAWAY · 2.62
HOME · 현재 순위
14위
승점 4
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
5위
승점 6
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.2%
DRAW27.9%
AWAY32.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW43 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승42.6%표본 242경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승37.1%현재 이동 +11.4%
OPEN → NOW2.20 → 2.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:15
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
LutonL · 5-2L · 2-0D · 2-2W · 3-4W · 0-3
Stockport CountyL · 1-2W · 6-3W · 1-3D · 1-1W · 1-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+10.03%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.37%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-10.59%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-02 11:12:14 | 2.20 | 3.53 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 11:22:16 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 11:32:15 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 11:42:17 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 11:52:18 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 12:02:32 | 2.18 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-02 12:02:33 | 2.24 | 3.50 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-02 12:12:16 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 12:22:18 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 12:32:30 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 12:42:20 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 12:52:17 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:02:15 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:12:14 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:22:25 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:32:50 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:42:19 | 2.19 | 3.55 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-02 13:42:20 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 13:52:19 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 14:02:19 | 2.23 | 3.51 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-02 14:02:20 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-02 14:12:13 | 2.24 | 3.51 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-02 14:22:23 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-02 14:22:24 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 14:32:18 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 14:42:14 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 14:52:17 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 15:02:16 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 15:12:13 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 15:22:16 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-02 15:22:17 | 2.21 | 3.48 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 15:32:14 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 15:42:15 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 15:52:17 | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-02 15:52:18 | 2.21 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 16:02:16 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 16:12:14 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 16:22:15 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 16:22:16 | 2.22 | 3.50 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-02 16:32:15 | 2.19 | 3.50 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-02 16:32:16 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 16:42:15 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 16:52:17 | 2.18 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-02 16:52:18 | 2.20 | 3.49 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 17:02:16 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 17:12:15 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 17:22:17 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 17:32:16 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 17:42:14 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 17:52:17 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 18:02:14 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 18:12:14 | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-02 18:12:15 | 2.19 | 3.44 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 18:22:16 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 18:32:15 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 18:42:13 | 2.19 | 3.51 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 18:42:14 | 2.23 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| 2026-09-02 18:52:16 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:02:15 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:12:14 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:22:15 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:32:15 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:42:14 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 19:52:15 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 20:02:13 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 20:12:14 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 20:22:17 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 20:32:15 | 2.19 | 3.55 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 20:32:16 | 2.18 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 20:42:14 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 21:02:15 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 21:22:18 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 21:42:22 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 22:02:16 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 22:22:18 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 22:42:16 | 2.18 | 3.53 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-02 23:02:14 | 2.19 | 3.55 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-02 23:02:15 | 2.18 | 3.51 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-02 23:22:21 | 2.42 | 3.54 | 2.68 |
| 2026-09-02 23:42:15 | 2.42 | 3.54 | 2.68 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.03 | Luton | 2 : 0 | Stockport County |