경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

League Two England · Regular Season - 4

Swindon TownHOME · 3.20

3 : 12026.09.02 · 종료

Port ValeAWAY · 2.10

HOME · 현재 순위 14위 승점 4 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 20위 승점 2 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.7%

DRAW19.4%

AWAY22.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +28.7%

VALUE EDGE+28.7%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +19.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +10.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +4.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +2.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Swindon Town분석 지표Port Vale

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.67

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도14.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME29.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승29.8%표본 104경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.1%현재 이동 +26.5%

OPEN → NOW2.53 → 3.20배당 업데이트 2026-09-01 23:52:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

57.7%

DRAW

19.4%

AWAY

22.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Swindon Town

W · 2-1D · 0-0L · 3-2W · 1-4W · 2-1

Port Vale

D · 0-0D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 3-0W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.68

→

CURRENT3.19

+19.00%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.35

→

CURRENT3.46

+3.24%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.55

→

CURRENT2.13

-16.50%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-01 11:52:21	2.68	3.35	2.55
2026-09-01 12:02:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 12:12:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 12:22:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 12:32:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 12:42:11	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 12:52:14	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 13:02:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 13:12:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 13:22:14	2.65	3.35	2.51
2026-09-01 13:22:15	2.64	3.26	2.49
2026-09-01 13:32:11	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 13:42:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 13:52:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:02:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:12:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:22:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:32:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:42:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 14:52:14	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 15:02:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 15:12:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 15:22:13	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 15:32:12	2.65	3.32	2.50
2026-09-01 15:42:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 15:52:14	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:02:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:12:12	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:22:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:32:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:42:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 16:52:12	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 17:02:13	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 17:12:12	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 17:22:13	2.92	3.42	2.25
2026-09-01 17:22:14	2.89	3.38	2.31
2026-09-01 17:32:11	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 17:42:11	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 17:52:14	2.92	3.40	2.26
2026-09-01 17:52:15	2.90	3.39	2.30
2026-09-01 18:02:12	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 18:12:11	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 18:22:12	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 18:32:11	2.90	3.39	2.29
2026-09-01 18:42:11	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 18:52:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:02:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:12:10	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:22:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:32:11	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:42:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 19:52:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 20:02:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 20:12:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 20:22:12	2.98	3.41	2.20
2026-09-01 20:22:13	3.07	3.43	2.19
2026-09-01 20:32:13	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 20:42:11	3.01	3.40	2.18
2026-09-01 20:42:12	3.08	3.48	2.22
2026-09-01 20:52:13	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 21:02:13	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 21:12:13	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 21:22:14	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 21:32:12	3.03	3.42	2.19
2026-09-01 21:42:13	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 21:52:16	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 22:02:13	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 22:12:15	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 22:22:14	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 22:32:13	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 22:42:12	3.18	3.38	2.14
2026-09-01 22:42:13	3.19	3.47	2.13
2026-09-01 22:52:14	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 23:02:15	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 23:12:11	3.16	3.44	2.13
2026-09-01 23:12:12	3.21	3.47	2.13
2026-09-01 23:22:15	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 23:32:14	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 23:42:12	3.19	3.46	2.13
2026-09-01 23:52:17	3.19	3.46	2.13

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Swindon Town	3 : 1	Port Vale