경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

First League Russia · Regular Season - 11

Spartak KostromaHOME · 1.71

1 : 02026.09.15 · 종료

FK NeftekhimikAWAY · 4.87

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 18 · 9경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 12 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.3%

DRAW26.6%

AWAY16.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +2.3%

VALUE EDGE+2.3%

FAIR ODDS1.75

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 91/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +3.1%p

HOME_AWAY EVEN -2.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +20.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Spartak Kostroma분석 지표FK Neftekhimik

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.83

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.4 / 15

예측 분리도13.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승52.9%표본 51경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.3%현재 이동 +0.6%

OPEN → NOW1.70 → 1.71배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:21

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

57.3%

DRAW

26.6%

AWAY

16.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Spartak Kostroma

W · 0-2W · 0-1W · 1-0L · 3-0D · 1-1

FK Neftekhimik

D · 1-1W · 0-2L · 0-1W · 0-1L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.68

→

CURRENT1.68

+0.15%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.56

→

CURRENT3.57

+0.28%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.81

→

CURRENT4.83

+0.31%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:12:16	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 12:22:42	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 12:33:21	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 12:42:17	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 12:52:33	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:02:40	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:12:28	1.69	3.58	4.80
2026-09-14 13:12:29	1.67	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:22:48	1.69	3.58	4.80
2026-09-14 13:22:49	1.67	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:32:56	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:42:18	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 13:52:33	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:02:38	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:12:20	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:22:38	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:32:50	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:42:34	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 14:52:54	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 15:02:57	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 15:12:17	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 15:22:41	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 15:32:55	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 15:42:22	1.65	3.52	4.77
2026-09-14 15:42:23	1.74	3.69	4.94
2026-09-14 15:52:45	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 16:02:50	1.68	3.56	4.81
2026-09-14 16:12:17	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 16:22:48	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 16:32:48	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 16:42:17	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 16:52:36	1.66	3.53	4.78
2026-09-14 16:52:37	1.74	3.69	4.94
2026-09-14 17:02:39	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 17:12:33	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 17:22:44	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 17:33:10	1.66	3.53	4.78
2026-09-14 17:33:11	1.74	3.69	4.94
2026-09-14 17:42:18	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 17:52:34	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 18:02:57	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 18:12:30	1.71	3.64	4.94
2026-09-14 18:12:31	1.65	3.50	4.71
2026-09-14 18:23:01	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 18:33:58	1.69	3.58	4.80
2026-09-14 18:33:59	1.67	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 18:42:18	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 18:52:44	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 19:02:50	1.69	3.58	4.80
2026-09-14 19:02:51	1.67	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 19:12:32	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 19:23:10	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 19:33:46	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 19:42:18	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 19:52:18	1.71	3.64	4.94
2026-09-14 19:52:19	1.65	3.50	4.71
2026-09-14 20:02:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 20:12:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 20:22:19	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 20:32:18	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 20:42:17	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 20:52:19	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:02:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:12:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:22:17	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:32:17	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:42:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 21:52:19	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 22:02:16	1.68	3.57	4.82
2026-09-14 22:12:17	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 22:22:37	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 22:32:18	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 22:42:18	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 22:52:21	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:02:18	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:12:18	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:22:21	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:32:19	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:42:19	1.68	3.57	4.83
2026-09-14 23:52:21	1.68	3.57	4.83

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Spartak Kostroma	1 : 0	FK Neftekhimik