경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premiership
Northern-Ireland · Regular Season - 8
Carrick RangersHOME · 4.17
2 : 52026.09.19 · 종료
LarneAWAY · 1.66
HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 10
· 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 16
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.8%
DRAW25.5%
AWAY61.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH77 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승24.2%표본 66경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승31.8%현재 이동 +17.5%
OPEN → NOW3.55 → 4.17배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:42:56
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Carrick RangersD · 1-1L · 1-3L · 1-0L · 0-2W · 1-2
LarneW · 2-0W · 0-2W · 1-0W · 2-1L · 0-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME61 SNAPSHOTS
+15.96%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW61 SNAPSHOTS
+4.52%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY61 SNAPSHOTS
-11.21%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 12:15:09 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 00:22:41 | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-19 00:22:42 | 3.55 | 3.61 | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-19 00:52:42 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 01:22:44 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 01:52:32 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-19 01:52:33 | 3.55 | 3.67 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 02:22:46 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-19 02:22:47 | 3.55 | 3.67 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 02:52:31 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 03:22:37 | 3.55 | 3.64 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-19 03:22:38 | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| 2026-09-19 03:52:17 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 03:52:18 | 3.56 | 3.64 | 1.85 |
| 2026-09-19 04:22:34 | 4.13 | 3.73 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 05:02:26 | 4.13 | 3.73 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 05:42:24 | 4.13 | 3.73 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 06:22:39 | 4.13 | 3.73 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 07:02:12 | 4.13 | 3.73 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 07:42:45 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 07:42:46 | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 08:22:45 | 4.13 | 3.72 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 09:02:13 | 4.13 | 3.72 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 09:42:36 | 4.12 | 3.73 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 09:42:37 | 4.15 | 3.70 | 1.72 |
| 2026-09-19 10:22:46 | 4.16 | 3.70 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 10:22:47 | 4.09 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 11:02:25 | 4.09 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 11:02:26 | 4.19 | 3.93 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 11:42:37 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 11:42:38 | 4.14 | 3.77 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 12:22:44 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 12:22:45 | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 13:02:54 | 4.16 | 3.70 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 13:02:55 | 4.09 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 13:42:38 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 13:42:39 | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 14:22:32 | 4.13 | 3.72 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 15:03:05 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 15:03:06 | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 15:42:34 | 4.13 | 3.72 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 16:23:26 | 4.18 | 3.81 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 17:03:16 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 17:03:17 | 4.17 | 3.81 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 17:43:20 | 4.18 | 3.81 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 18:23:55 | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 18:23:56 | 4.17 | 3.79 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 19:03:33 | 4.18 | 3.81 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 19:43:48 | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 19:43:49 | 4.12 | 3.80 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-19 20:23:29 | 4.13 | 3.80 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 20:23:30 | 4.14 | 3.88 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 21:03:11 | 4.15 | 3.83 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 21:03:12 | 4.11 | 3.80 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-19 21:43:03 | 4.13 | 3.81 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 22:23:41 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 22:23:42 | 4.10 | 3.82 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-19 23:03:32 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 23:03:33 | 4.10 | 3.82 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-19 23:42:55 | 4.15 | 3.83 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 23:42:56 | 4.11 | 3.80 | 1.64 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | Carrick Rangers | 2 : 5 | Larne |