경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premiership Northern-Ireland · Regular Season - 7

Ballymena UnitedHOME · 2.30

1 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

Carrick RangersAWAY · 2.51

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 4 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 9 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.7%

DRAW16.7%

AWAY59.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW54 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 54/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +24.0%

VALUE EDGE+24.0%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 84/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -9.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.0%p

MARKET HOME +3.3%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -18.6%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Ballymena United분석 지표Carrick Rangers

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.00

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

54/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지10.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승35.2%표본 125경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.3%현재 이동 -9.1%

OPEN → NOW2.53 → 2.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

23.7%

DRAW

16.7%

AWAY

59.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Ballymena United

L · 3-2D · 2-2L · 0-2L · 2-1W · 0-3

Carrick Rangers

L · 1-3L · 1-0L · 0-2W · 1-2W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.26

→

CURRENT2.20

-2.51%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.54

→

CURRENT3.55

+0.39%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.46

→

CURRENT2.41

-2.25%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 12:22:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 12:32:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 12:42:06	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 12:52:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 13:02:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 13:12:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 13:22:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 13:32:07	2.31	3.52	2.53
2026-09-15 13:32:08	2.06	3.65	2.24
2026-09-15 13:42:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 13:52:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 14:02:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 14:12:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 14:22:08	2.32	3.49	2.57
2026-09-15 14:22:09	2.20	3.58	2.38
2026-09-15 14:32:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 14:42:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 14:52:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 15:02:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 15:12:07	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 15:22:08	2.26	3.54	2.46
2026-09-15 15:32:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 15:42:07	2.30	3.42	2.53
2026-09-15 15:42:08	2.21	3.76	2.37
2026-09-15 15:52:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 16:02:07	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 16:12:07	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 16:22:09	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 16:32:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 16:42:07	2.32	3.50	2.57
2026-09-15 16:42:08	2.21	3.60	2.37
2026-09-15 16:52:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:02:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:12:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:22:07	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:32:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:42:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 17:52:08	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 18:02:09	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 18:12:07	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 18:22:09	2.26	3.55	2.46
2026-09-15 18:32:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 18:42:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 18:52:08	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:02:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:12:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:22:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:32:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:42:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 19:52:08	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 20:02:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 20:12:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 20:22:07	2.33	3.45	2.55
2026-09-15 20:22:08	2.24	3.54	2.44
2026-09-15 20:32:08	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 20:42:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 20:52:07	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 21:02:08	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 21:12:06	2.33	3.45	2.55
2026-09-15 21:12:07	2.24	3.54	2.44
2026-09-15 21:22:08	2.26	3.52	2.46
2026-09-15 21:32:07	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 21:42:08	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 21:52:08	2.30	3.60	2.50
2026-09-15 21:52:09	2.24	3.50	2.47
2026-09-15 22:02:09	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 22:12:07	2.31	3.48	2.55
2026-09-15 22:12:08	2.20	3.55	2.41
2026-09-15 22:22:09	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 22:32:07	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 22:42:08	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 22:52:08	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 23:02:07	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 23:12:12	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 23:22:07	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 23:32:07	2.25	3.52	2.47
2026-09-15 23:42:08	2.30	3.50	2.54
2026-09-15 23:42:09	2.07	3.60	2.25
2026-09-15 23:52:06	2.31	3.48	2.55
2026-09-15 23:52:07	2.20	3.55	2.41

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Ballymena United	1 : 1	Carrick Rangers
2026.07.25	Carrick Rangers	0 : 3	Ballymena United