경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Super League Switzerland · Regular Season - 4

FC ThunHOME · 2.25

2 : 42026.09.17 · 종료

Servette FCAWAY · 2.84

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 7 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 7 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.7%

DRAW25.8%

AWAY33.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +0.7%

VALUE EDGE+0.7%

FAIR ODDS2.99

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 65/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN +0.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +15.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -2.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC Thun분석 지표Servette FC

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

2.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도14.7 / 15

예측 분리도3.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승41.4%표본 239경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승40.3%현재 이동 -18.2%

OPEN → NOW2.75 → 2.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

40.7%

DRAW

25.8%

AWAY

33.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Thun

L · 0-1L · 3-2D · 0-0W · 3-4D · 2-2

Servette FC

W · 0-1L · 0-2L · 1-0D · 1-1W · 0-7

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.72

→

CURRENT2.28

-16.44%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.63

→

CURRENT3.58

-1.26%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.28

→

CURRENT2.79

+22.18%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 01:12:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 01:22:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 01:32:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 01:42:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 01:52:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:02:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:12:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:22:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:32:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:42:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 02:52:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 03:12:04	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 03:32:05	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 03:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 03:52:07	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 04:12:07	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 04:32:08	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 04:52:07	2.75	3.67	2.29
2026-09-16 04:52:08	2.67	3.54	2.28
2026-09-16 05:12:07	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 05:32:08	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 05:52:08	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 06:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.28
2026-09-16 06:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 06:52:09	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 07:12:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 07:32:10	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 07:52:09	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 08:12:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 08:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 08:52:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 09:12:07	2.74	3.66	2.28
2026-09-16 09:12:08	2.70	3.62	2.29
2026-09-16 09:32:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 09:52:09	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 10:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 10:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 10:52:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 11:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 11:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 11:52:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 12:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 12:32:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 12:52:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 13:12:07	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 13:32:08	2.75	3.40	2.25
2026-09-16 13:32:09	2.71	3.66	2.29
2026-09-16 13:52:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 14:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 14:32:09	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 14:52:09	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 15:12:08	2.72	3.63	2.29
2026-09-16 15:32:12	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 15:52:08	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 16:12:09	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 16:32:10	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 16:52:08	2.30	3.60	2.62
2026-09-16 16:52:09	2.37	3.69	2.63
2026-09-16 17:12:08	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 17:32:08	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 17:52:11	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 18:12:08	2.36	3.68	2.63
2026-09-16 18:32:09	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 18:52:07	2.31	3.64	2.67
2026-09-16 18:52:08	2.39	3.73	2.74
2026-09-16 19:12:06	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 19:32:08	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 19:52:08	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 20:12:08	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 20:32:09	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 20:52:08	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 21:12:07	2.34	3.67	2.69
2026-09-16 21:32:09	2.28	3.58	2.78
2026-09-16 21:52:10	2.28	3.58	2.78
2026-09-16 22:12:18	2.28	3.58	2.78
2026-09-16 22:32:10	2.28	3.58	2.79
2026-09-16 22:52:10	2.28	3.58	2.79
2026-09-16 23:12:10	2.28	3.58	2.79
2026-09-16 23:32:10	2.28	3.58	2.79
2026-09-16 23:52:09	2.28	3.58	2.79

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	FC Thun	2 : 4	Servette FC