경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

I Liga Poland · Regular Season - 9

Warta PoznańHOME · 2.10

3 : 22026.09.19 · 종료

Puszcza NiepołomiceAWAY · 3.10

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 12 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 6 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.5%

DRAW15.1%

AWAY12.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +28.9%

VALUE EDGE+28.9%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +7.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +12.9%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +20.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +10.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -3.9%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Warta Poznań분석 지표Puszcza Niepołomice

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승44.4%표본 205경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 6경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.5%현재 이동 +4.5%

OPEN → NOW2.01 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:24

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

72.5%

DRAW

15.1%

AWAY

12.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Warta Poznań

W · 3-0L · 1-0L · 2-1W · 0-1L · 3-1

Puszcza Niepołomice

L · 1-2W · 0-2L · 0-1L · 3-0W · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.03

→

CURRENT2.08

+2.13%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.42

→

CURRENT3.38

-1.20%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.08

→

CURRENT3.08

+0.00%UNCHANGED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-18 00:22:18	2.03	3.42	3.08
2026-09-18 00:42:16	2.03	3.42	3.08
2026-09-18 01:02:15	2.03	3.42	3.08
2026-09-18 01:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 01:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 02:02:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 02:22:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 02:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 03:02:16	2.03	3.35	3.00
2026-09-18 03:02:17	2.04	3.45	3.09
2026-09-18 03:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 03:42:16	2.02	3.41	3.04
2026-09-18 03:42:17	2.05	3.44	3.10
2026-09-18 04:02:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 04:22:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 04:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 05:02:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 05:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 05:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 06:02:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 06:22:16	2.02	3.41	3.04
2026-09-18 06:22:17	2.05	3.44	3.10
2026-09-18 06:42:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 07:02:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 07:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 07:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 08:02:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 08:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 08:42:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 09:02:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 09:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 09:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 10:02:19	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 10:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 10:42:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 11:02:16	2.02	3.41	3.04
2026-09-18 11:02:17	2.05	3.44	3.10
2026-09-18 11:22:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 11:42:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 12:02:19	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 12:22:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 12:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 13:02:15	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 13:22:15	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 13:42:14	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 14:02:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 14:22:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 14:42:17	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 15:02:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 15:22:18	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 15:42:15	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 16:02:16	2.04	3.43	3.07
2026-09-18 16:22:18	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 16:42:16	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 17:02:18	2.05	3.45	3.06
2026-09-18 17:02:19	2.08	3.44	3.13
2026-09-18 17:22:19	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 17:42:15	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 18:02:16	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 18:22:18	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 18:42:15	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 19:02:18	2.05	3.44	3.07
2026-09-18 19:22:19	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 19:42:17	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 20:02:18	2.07	3.39	3.06
2026-09-18 20:02:19	2.09	3.41	3.14
2026-09-18 20:22:18	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 20:42:25	2.06	3.44	3.08
2026-09-18 20:42:26	2.10	3.32	3.06
2026-09-18 21:02:17	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 21:22:17	2.10	3.30	3.00
2026-09-18 21:22:18	2.07	3.41	3.08
2026-09-18 21:42:17	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 22:02:19	2.07	3.40	3.07
2026-09-18 22:22:19	2.08	3.38	3.08
2026-09-18 22:42:27	2.08	3.38	3.08
2026-09-18 23:02:22	2.08	3.38	3.08
2026-09-18 23:22:17	2.04	3.35	3.02
2026-09-18 23:22:18	2.10	3.40	3.11
2026-09-18 23:42:24	2.08	3.38	3.08

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.19	Warta Poznań	3 : 2	Puszcza Niepołomice