경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

I Liga Poland · Regular Season - 8

Polonia WarszawaHOME · 2.03

2 : 22026.09.12 · 종료

Polonia BytomAWAY · 3.13

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 10 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 7 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%

DRAW16.1%

AWAY16.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 46.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +22.9%

VALUE EDGE+22.9%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +39.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +40.7%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +13.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +5.3%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Polonia Warszawa분석 지표Polonia Bytom

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승46.9%표본 213경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승34.1%현재 이동 +14.7%

OPEN → NOW1.77 → 2.03배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:14

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

67.8%

DRAW

16.1%

AWAY

16.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Polonia Warszawa

L · 2-1W · 0-1W · 1-3L · 1-0D · 1-1

Polonia Bytom

D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 5-2D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME79 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.79

→

CURRENT2.03

+13.73%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW79 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.64

→

CURRENT3.47

-4.56%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY79 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.75

→

CURRENT3.12

-16.78%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 00:15:16	1.79	3.64	3.75
2026-09-10 12:15:16	1.78	3.64	3.81
2026-09-11 00:02:15	1.76	3.65	3.81
2026-09-11 00:02:16	1.80	3.66	3.84
2026-09-11 00:22:25	1.78	3.65	3.82
2026-09-11 00:42:17	1.78	3.65	3.82
2026-09-11 01:02:17	1.78	3.65	3.82
2026-09-11 01:22:19	1.78	3.65	3.82
2026-09-11 01:42:18	1.78	3.65	3.82
2026-09-11 02:02:22	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 02:22:18	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 02:42:20	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 03:02:20	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 03:22:21	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 03:42:20	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 04:02:19	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 04:22:22	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 04:42:20	1.88	3.53	3.49
2026-09-11 05:02:20	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 05:22:19	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 05:42:20	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 06:02:21	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 06:22:19	1.88	3.56	3.50
2026-09-11 06:22:20	1.88	3.50	3.50
2026-09-11 06:42:19	1.88	3.52	3.48
2026-09-11 06:42:20	1.89	3.65	3.75
2026-09-11 07:02:20	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 07:22:20	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 07:42:20	1.88	3.53	3.50
2026-09-11 08:02:18	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 08:22:18	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 08:42:16	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 09:02:17	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 09:22:16	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 09:42:15	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 10:02:16	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 10:22:16	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 10:42:17	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 11:02:15	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 11:22:16	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 11:42:13	1.88	3.50	3.49
2026-09-11 11:42:14	1.92	3.64	3.54
2026-09-11 12:02:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 12:22:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 12:42:13	1.89	3.56	3.51
2026-09-11 12:42:14	1.88	3.50	3.54
2026-09-11 13:02:12	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 13:22:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 13:42:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 14:02:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 14:22:12	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 14:42:14	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 15:02:14	1.89	3.56	3.51
2026-09-11 15:02:15	1.88	3.50	3.54
2026-09-11 15:22:14	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 15:42:14	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 16:02:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 16:22:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 16:42:13	1.89	3.55	3.51
2026-09-11 17:02:13	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 17:22:14	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 17:42:12	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 18:02:13	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 18:22:12	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 18:42:13	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 19:02:12	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 19:22:15	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 19:42:13	1.90	3.54	3.48
2026-09-11 20:02:12	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 20:22:11	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 20:42:14	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 21:02:15	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 21:22:13	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 21:42:14	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 22:02:13	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 22:22:13	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 22:42:14	1.91	3.57	3.49
2026-09-11 23:22:14	2.03	3.47	3.12
2026-09-11 23:42:14	2.03	3.47	3.12

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Polonia Warszawa	2 : 2	Polonia Bytom