경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

1. SNL Slovenia · Regular Season - 10

MuraHOME · 4.60

0 : 02026.09.21 · 종료

CeljeAWAY · 1.62

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 9 · 10경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 12 · 9경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.8%

DRAW20.4%

AWAY57.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +2.1%

VALUE EDGE+2.1%

FAIR ODDS4.59

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 86/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -4.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -3.2%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -15.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -5.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +16.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Mura분석 지표Celje

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

2.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승36.4%표본 44경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승36.4%현재 이동 +12.9%

OPEN → NOW4.08 → 4.60배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:32:33

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

21.8%

DRAW

20.4%

AWAY

57.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Mura

L · 1-6D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 0-1W · 1-2

Celje

L · 2-0L · 2-1L · 0-1W · 0-2L · 4-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.04

→

CURRENT4.64

+15.04%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.60

→

CURRENT3.68

+2.12%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.75

→

CURRENT1.65

-5.76%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-19 00:15:32	4.04	3.60	1.75
2026-09-20 00:14:00	4.00	3.40	1.75
2026-09-20 00:14:01	4.16	3.63	1.72
2026-09-20 00:44:44	4.13	3.60	1.73
2026-09-20 01:14:17	4.13	3.60	1.73
2026-09-20 01:52:13	4.00	3.57	1.73
2026-09-20 01:52:14	4.27	3.62	1.74
2026-09-20 02:22:12	3.90	3.60	1.75
2026-09-20 02:22:13	4.25	3.60	1.72
2026-09-20 02:52:13	4.00	3.57	1.73
2026-09-20 02:52:14	4.27	3.62	1.74
2026-09-20 03:22:19	4.14	3.60	1.73
2026-09-20 03:52:11	4.14	3.60	1.73
2026-09-20 04:22:18	4.14	3.60	1.73
2026-09-20 04:52:12	4.18	3.58	1.72
2026-09-20 05:22:10	4.20	3.50	1.73
2026-09-20 05:22:11	4.18	3.59	1.72
2026-09-20 05:52:19	4.27	3.67	1.70
2026-09-20 05:52:20	4.01	3.42	1.75
2026-09-20 06:22:14	4.27	3.67	1.70
2026-09-20 06:22:15	4.01	3.42	1.75
2026-09-20 06:52:15	4.27	3.67	1.70
2026-09-20 06:52:16	4.01	3.42	1.75
2026-09-20 07:22:23	4.27	3.67	1.70
2026-09-20 07:22:24	4.01	3.42	1.75
2026-09-20 08:02:07	4.35	3.59	1.69
2026-09-20 08:42:12	4.35	3.59	1.69
2026-09-20 09:22:11	4.39	3.64	1.66
2026-09-20 09:22:12	4.29	3.53	1.72
2026-09-20 10:02:05	4.32	3.60	1.68
2026-09-20 10:02:06	4.43	3.58	1.72
2026-09-20 10:42:10	4.33	3.60	1.69
2026-09-20 11:22:16	4.50	3.40	1.67
2026-09-20 11:22:17	4.31	3.63	1.69
2026-09-20 12:02:05	4.33	3.60	1.69
2026-09-20 12:42:19	4.35	3.61	1.68
2026-09-20 12:42:20	4.20	3.55	1.80
2026-09-20 13:22:09	4.33	3.60	1.69
2026-09-20 14:02:05	4.33	3.60	1.69
2026-09-20 14:42:12	4.50	3.40	1.67
2026-09-20 14:42:13	4.31	3.63	1.69
2026-09-20 15:22:08	4.33	3.60	1.69
2026-09-20 15:52:16	4.44	3.69	1.67
2026-09-20 15:52:17	4.13	3.43	1.73
2026-09-20 16:22:16	4.35	3.61	1.68
2026-09-20 16:22:17	4.20	3.55	1.80
2026-09-20 16:52:13	4.43	3.71	1.67
2026-09-20 16:52:14	4.24	3.47	1.71
2026-09-20 17:22:26	4.40	3.50	1.67
2026-09-20 17:22:27	4.32	3.71	1.66
2026-09-20 17:22:28	4.39	3.61	1.70
2026-09-20 17:52:20	4.40	3.50	1.67
2026-09-20 17:52:21	4.36	3.65	1.69
2026-09-20 18:22:23	4.34	3.66	1.66
2026-09-20 18:22:24	4.39	3.61	1.70
2026-09-20 19:02:24	4.20	3.70	1.69
2026-09-20 19:02:25	4.44	3.62	1.67
2026-09-20 19:02:26	4.25	3.55	1.78
2026-09-20 19:42:20	4.39	3.66	1.65
2026-09-20 19:42:21	4.48	3.62	1.68
2026-09-20 20:22:18	4.44	3.64	1.67
2026-09-20 21:02:19	4.39	3.66	1.65
2026-09-20 21:02:20	4.48	3.62	1.68
2026-09-20 21:32:15	4.44	3.64	1.67
2026-09-20 22:02:15	4.44	3.64	1.67
2026-09-20 22:32:28	4.60	3.50	1.65
2026-09-20 22:32:29	4.62	3.75	1.62
2026-09-20 22:32:30	4.73	3.68	1.64
2026-09-20 23:02:15	4.64	3.74	1.61
2026-09-20 23:02:16	4.64	3.68	1.65
2026-09-20 23:32:32	4.64	3.74	1.61
2026-09-20 23:32:33	4.64	3.68	1.65

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.21	Mura	0 : 0	Celje
2026.07.18	Celje	2 : 2	Mura