경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
First NL
Croatia · Regular Season - 6

SesveteHOME · 2.05
1 : 22026.09.18 · 종료
HNK CibaliaAWAY · 3.34

HOME · 현재 순위
4위
승점 9
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 7
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.2%
DRAW20.8%
AWAY10.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승47.3%표본 188경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승45.2%현재 이동 +2.0%
OPEN → NOW2.01 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:38
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
SesveteW · 1-2W · 2-0L · 1-0L · 1-2W · 3-0
HNK CibaliaD · 0-0L · 1-0D · 1-1D · 0-0D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME75 SNAPSHOTS
+0.89%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW75 SNAPSHOTS
-4.50%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY75 SNAPSHOTS
+1.39%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-17 00:15:21 | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-17 12:15:22 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 00:02:29 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 00:22:28 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 00:42:28 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 01:02:25 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 03:42:30 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 04:02:30 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 04:22:28 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 04:42:29 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 05:02:30 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 05:22:29 | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-18 05:22:30 | 2.06 | 3.13 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 05:42:31 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 06:02:29 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 06:22:29 | 2.06 | 3.11 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-18 06:42:31 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 07:02:29 | 1.84 | 3.08 | 3.85 |
| 2026-09-18 07:02:30 | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 07:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 07:42:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 08:02:31 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 08:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 08:42:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 09:02:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 09:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 09:42:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 10:02:32 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 10:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 10:42:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 11:02:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 11:22:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 11:42:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 12:02:31 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 12:22:31 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 12:42:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 13:02:27 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 13:22:27 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 13:42:25 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 14:02:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 14:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 14:42:29 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 15:02:30 | 1.84 | 3.14 | 3.89 |
| 2026-09-18 15:02:31 | 1.86 | 3.20 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-18 15:22:30 | 1.85 | 3.17 | 3.95 |
| 2026-09-18 15:42:27 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 16:02:27 | 1.99 | 3.12 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-18 16:02:28 | 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-18 16:22:31 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 16:42:28 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 17:02:32 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 17:22:30 | 1.98 | 3.14 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-18 17:22:31 | 2.04 | 3.09 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-18 17:42:27 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 18:02:30 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 18:22:30 | 2.00 | 3.12 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 18:42:27 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 19:02:32 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 19:22:33 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 19:42:29 | 2.02 | 3.07 | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-18 19:42:30 | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-18 20:02:31 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 20:22:31 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 20:42:48 | 2.01 | 3.09 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-18 20:42:49 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-18 21:02:30 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 21:22:31 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-18 21:42:29 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-18 22:02:32 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-18 22:22:34 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-18 22:42:49 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-18 23:02:37 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-18 23:22:31 | 2.04 | 3.07 | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-18 23:22:32 | 2.05 | 3.04 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-18 23:42:38 | 2.04 | 3.06 | 3.37 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.18 | Sesvete | 1 : 2 | HNK Cibalia |