경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Super League
Switzerland · Regular Season - 8

FC LuzernHOME · 2.07
2 : 42026.09.13 · 종료
FC Basel 1893AWAY · 3.02

HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 12
· 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
4위
승점 13
· 8경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.2%
DRAW16.4%
AWAY66.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승46.3%표본 270경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 +0.2%
OPEN → NOW2.07 → 2.07배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:52:05
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
FC LuzernD · 3-3W · 2-1D · 1-1W · 1-0W · 0-3
FC Basel 1893L · 1-3L · 1-2D · 3-3W · 1-2L · 2-5
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME58 SNAPSHOTS
+1.45%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS
-1.51%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS
+1.22%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 00:15:28 | 2.08 | 3.87 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 00:12:50 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:45 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:46 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 01:44:19 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 02:13:19 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 02:44:05 | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 03:12:50 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 03:43:48 | 2.06 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 03:43:49 | 2.10 | 3.85 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-13 04:12:32 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 04:42:52 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 05:13:50 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 05:43:50 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 06:12:46 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 06:45:11 | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-13 06:45:12 | 2.08 | 3.83 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 07:13:15 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 07:43:23 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 08:13:21 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 08:43:49 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 11:52:03 | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 11:52:04 | 2.08 | 3.84 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 12:22:02 | 2.05 | 3.88 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-13 12:22:03 | 2.10 | 3.79 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-13 12:52:02 | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.05 |
| 2026-09-13 12:52:03 | 2.08 | 3.84 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:03 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:03 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 14:22:04 | 2.07 | 3.83 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 14:52:03 | 2.08 | 3.82 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:03 | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:04 | 2.08 | 3.83 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 16:02:04 | 2.08 | 3.82 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 16:42:04 | 2.06 | 3.81 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-13 16:42:05 | 2.06 | 3.97 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 16:42:06 | 2.10 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-13 17:22:04 | 2.06 | 3.81 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-13 17:22:05 | 2.08 | 3.82 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 18:02:02 | 2.08 | 3.80 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:07 | 2.06 | 3.78 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:08 | 2.08 | 3.81 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:09 | 2.11 | 3.82 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 19:22:06 | 2.06 | 3.78 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-13 19:22:07 | 2.09 | 3.81 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:04 | 2.05 | 3.83 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:05 | 2.11 | 3.77 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-13 20:42:06 | 2.06 | 3.83 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-13 20:42:07 | 2.10 | 3.77 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-13 21:22:06 | 2.08 | 3.80 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 21:52:05 | 2.08 | 3.80 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 22:22:07 | 2.08 | 3.80 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 22:52:05 | 2.08 | 3.80 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-13 23:22:07 | 2.06 | 3.83 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-13 23:22:08 | 2.09 | 3.75 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-13 23:22:09 | 2.11 | 3.82 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-13 23:52:04 | 2.07 | 3.80 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-13 23:52:05 | 2.11 | 3.82 | 3.04 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.13 | FC Luzern | 2 : 4 | FC Basel 1893 |