경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Challenge League Switzerland · Regular Season - 9

FC WinterthurHOME · 2.05

2 : 12026.09.19 · 종료

FC AarauAWAY · 2.96

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 15 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 12 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%

DRAW14.0%

AWAY11.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +30.4%

VALUE EDGE+30.4%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +42.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +14.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC Winterthur분석 지표FC Aarau

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승43.7%표본 183경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.3%현재 이동 -6.8%

OPEN → NOW2.20 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:22

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

74.6%

DRAW

14.0%

AWAY

11.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Winterthur

W · 0-1W · 4-0D · 2-2D · 1-1W · 0-2

FC Aarau

D · 2-2W · 3-2D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.25

→

CURRENT2.05

-8.69%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.65

→

CURRENT3.65

+0.00%UNCHANGED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.75

→

CURRENT2.96

+7.52%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 12:15:13	2.25	3.65	2.75
2026-09-18 00:02:18	2.22	3.63	2.73
2026-09-18 00:22:16	2.22	3.63	2.73
2026-09-18 00:42:15	2.22	3.63	2.73
2026-09-18 01:02:13	2.22	3.63	2.73
2026-09-18 01:22:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 01:42:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 02:02:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 02:22:16	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 02:42:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 03:02:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 03:22:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 03:42:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 04:02:13	2.14	3.57	2.79
2026-09-18 04:02:14	2.17	3.69	2.80
2026-09-18 04:22:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 04:42:14	2.15	3.67	2.79
2026-09-18 04:42:15	2.18	3.56	2.82
2026-09-18 05:02:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 05:22:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 05:42:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 06:02:16	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 06:22:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 06:42:15	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 07:02:14	2.16	3.65	2.80
2026-09-18 07:22:15	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 07:42:14	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 08:02:15	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 08:22:14	2.13	3.66	2.77
2026-09-18 08:22:15	2.15	3.60	2.82
2026-09-18 08:42:16	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 09:02:15	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 09:22:15	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 09:42:15	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 10:02:16	2.14	3.62	2.80
2026-09-18 10:22:14	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 10:42:14	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 11:02:14	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 11:22:15	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 11:42:14	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 12:02:16	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 12:22:16	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 12:42:15	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 13:02:13	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 13:22:13	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 13:42:12	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 14:02:15	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 14:22:16	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 14:42:14	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 15:02:15	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 15:22:16	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 15:42:13	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 16:02:13	2.14	3.63	2.81
2026-09-18 16:22:16	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 16:42:14	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 17:02:15	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 17:22:16	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 17:42:13	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 18:02:14	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 18:22:15	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 18:42:13	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 19:02:16	2.13	3.66	2.82
2026-09-18 19:22:17	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 19:42:15	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 20:02:17	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 20:22:16	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 20:42:22	2.04	3.69	2.91
2026-09-18 20:42:23	2.07	3.69	2.96
2026-09-18 21:02:15	2.05	3.76	2.96
2026-09-18 21:02:16	2.07	3.54	2.89
2026-09-18 21:22:16	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 21:42:15	2.06	3.69	2.94
2026-09-18 22:02:17	2.04	3.73	2.93
2026-09-18 22:02:18	2.08	3.64	2.95
2026-09-18 22:22:16	2.05	3.65	2.96
2026-09-18 22:42:23	2.02	3.70	2.97
2026-09-18 22:42:24	2.10	3.59	2.94
2026-09-18 23:02:20	2.05	3.65	2.96
2026-09-18 23:22:16	2.05	3.65	2.96
2026-09-18 23:42:22	2.05	3.65	2.96

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.19	FC Winterthur	2 : 1	FC Aarau