경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Challenge League Switzerland · Regular Season - 7

FC WinterthurHOME · 2.01

4 : 02026.09.05 · 종료

Neuchatel Xamax FCAWAY · 3.08

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 12 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 9 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.9%

DRAW21.4%

AWAY24.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +8.4%

VALUE EDGE+8.4%

FAIR ODDS1.86

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 88/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +3.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +4.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +17.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC Winterthur분석 지표Neuchatel Xamax FC

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 57.1%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.5 / 15

예측 분리도12.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승47.2%표본 195경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.3%현재 이동 +0.5%

OPEN → NOW2.00 → 2.01배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:26

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

53.9%

DRAW

21.4%

AWAY

24.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Winterthur

D · 2-2D · 1-1W · 0-2W · 1-3W · 5-0

Neuchatel Xamax FC

L · 1-2L · 2-1L · 1-2D · 0-0W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.01

→

CURRENT2.01

+0.08%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.68

→

CURRENT3.68

+0.02%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.05

→

CURRENT3.07

+0.35%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:22:17	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 01:32:21	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 02:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 02:42:22	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 02:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:02:23	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:22:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:32:23	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:42:22	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 03:52:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 04:12:22	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 04:32:22	1.98	3.71	3.06
2026-09-04 04:32:23	2.04	3.66	3.05
2026-09-04 04:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 05:12:22	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 05:32:23	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 05:52:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 06:12:22	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 06:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 06:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 07:12:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 07:32:21	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 07:52:24	2.01	3.68	3.05
2026-09-04 08:12:23	2.00	3.62	3.05
2026-09-04 08:12:24	2.01	3.70	3.06
2026-09-04 08:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 08:52:25	1.99	3.67	3.05
2026-09-04 08:52:26	2.07	3.72	3.07
2026-09-04 09:12:24	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 09:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 09:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 10:12:22	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 10:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 10:52:23	1.98	3.69	3.05
2026-09-04 10:52:24	2.03	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 11:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 11:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 11:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 12:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 12:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 12:52:23	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 13:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 13:32:22	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 13:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 14:12:21	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 14:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 14:52:24	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 15:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 15:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 15:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 16:12:22	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 16:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 16:52:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 17:12:23	1.99	3.66	3.06
2026-09-04 17:12:24	2.02	3.69	3.06
2026-09-04 17:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 17:52:26	2.05	3.70	2.95
2026-09-04 17:52:27	2.00	3.67	3.07
2026-09-04 18:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 18:32:26	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 18:52:26	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 19:12:25	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 19:32:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 19:52:26	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 20:12:23	2.01	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 20:32:26	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 20:52:24	2.00	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 20:52:25	2.08	3.73	3.08
2026-09-04 21:12:24	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 21:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 21:52:25	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 22:12:24	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 22:32:25	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 22:52:27	2.00	3.68	3.06
2026-09-04 22:52:28	2.08	3.75	3.10
2026-09-04 23:12:27	1.98	3.71	3.06
2026-09-04 23:12:28	2.04	3.66	3.07
2026-09-04 23:32:24	2.01	3.68	3.07
2026-09-04 23:52:26	2.01	3.68	3.07

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.10.10	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3 : 0	FC Winterthur
2026.09.05	FC Winterthur	4 : 0	Neuchatel Xamax FC
2026.03.27	FC Winterthur	2 : 1	Neuchatel Xamax FC