경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Challenge League Switzerland · Regular Season - 7

FC AarauHOME · 1.62

3 : 22026.09.05 · 종료

RapperswilAWAY · 4.33

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 8 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 4 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.8%

DRAW19.9%

AWAY32.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 92/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +11.0%

VALUE EDGE+11.0%

FAIR ODDS3.10

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 68/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +28.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +24.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +9.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.8%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC Aarau분석 지표Rapperswil

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.92

1.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.7 / 15

예측 분리도6.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승57.5%표본 146경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.0%현재 이동 +1.9%

OPEN → NOW1.59 → 1.62배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:25

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

47.8%

DRAW

19.9%

AWAY

32.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Aarau

D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 2-1D · 3-3W · 2-1

Rapperswil

D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 0-2W · 1-6L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.60

→

CURRENT1.61

+0.33%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.17

→

CURRENT4.16

-0.26%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.32

→

CURRENT4.30

-0.59%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:12:27	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 01:22:16	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 01:32:21	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 02:32:22	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 02:42:20	1.61	4.00	4.30
2026-09-04 02:42:21	1.60	4.20	4.33
2026-09-04 02:52:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:02:22	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:12:22	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:22:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:32:22	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:42:21	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 03:52:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 04:12:21	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 04:32:21	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 04:52:24	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 05:12:21	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 05:32:22	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 05:52:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 06:12:20	1.60	4.17	4.37
2026-09-04 06:12:21	1.61	4.17	4.25
2026-09-04 06:32:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 06:52:24	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 07:12:23	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 07:32:20	1.60	4.17	4.32
2026-09-04 07:52:22	1.60	4.10	4.40
2026-09-04 07:52:23	1.60	4.17	4.31
2026-09-04 08:12:22	1.59	4.12	4.31
2026-09-04 08:12:23	1.62	4.26	4.35
2026-09-04 08:32:24	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 08:52:24	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 09:12:23	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 09:32:24	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 09:52:24	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 10:12:21	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 10:32:23	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 10:52:22	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 11:12:22	1.60	4.16	4.35
2026-09-04 11:32:22	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 11:52:23	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 12:12:21	1.60	4.13	4.34
2026-09-04 12:12:22	1.63	4.33	4.35
2026-09-04 12:32:24	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 12:52:22	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 13:12:22	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 13:32:21	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 13:52:23	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 14:12:20	1.60	4.16	4.34
2026-09-04 14:32:23	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 14:52:23	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 15:12:21	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 15:32:23	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 15:52:24	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 16:12:21	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 16:32:23	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 16:52:22	1.60	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 17:12:22	1.60	4.14	4.37
2026-09-04 17:12:23	1.61	4.20	4.29
2026-09-04 17:32:24	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 17:52:26	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 18:12:22	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 18:32:25	1.60	4.13	4.36
2026-09-04 18:32:26	1.61	4.20	4.30
2026-09-04 18:52:25	1.60	4.13	4.33
2026-09-04 18:52:26	1.63	4.28	4.33
2026-09-04 19:12:24	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 19:32:22	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 19:52:25	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 20:12:22	1.61	4.17	4.33
2026-09-04 20:32:25	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 20:52:24	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 21:12:23	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 21:32:24	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 21:52:24	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 22:12:23	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 22:32:24	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 22:52:27	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 23:12:27	1.61	4.15	4.30
2026-09-04 23:32:23	1.61	4.16	4.30
2026-09-04 23:52:25	1.61	4.16	4.30

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	FC Aarau	3 : 2	Rapperswil