경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J3 League
Japan · Regular Season - 8
KitakyushuHOME · 4.73
1 : 12026.09.26 · 종료
Kagoshima UnitedAWAY · 1.58
HOME · 현재 순위
15위
승점 6
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 19
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME4.2%
DRAW8.9%
AWAY86.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승32.1%표본 56경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승31.3%현재 이동 +19.4%
OPEN → NOW3.96 → 4.73배당 업데이트 2026-09-26 23:54:03
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
KitakyushuW · 1-2L · 2-4L · 3-0L · 4-2W · 1-0
Kagoshima UnitedW · 3-1W · 1-2W · 2-1L · 0-1W · 3-4
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME66 SNAPSHOTS
+21.34%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS
+7.29%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS
-8.81%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-26 00:02:23 | 3.96 | 3.44 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-26 00:32:24 | 3.96 | 3.44 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-26 00:52:23 | 3.96 | 3.44 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-26 02:32:25 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 02:52:31 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 03:12:24 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 03:32:27 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 03:52:27 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 04:12:22 | 4.52 | 3.66 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 04:12:23 | 4.55 | 3.59 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 04:42:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 05:12:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 05:42:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 06:12:21 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 06:42:21 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 07:12:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 07:42:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 08:12:22 | 4.54 | 3.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 08:42:22 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 09:12:22 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 09:42:21 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 10:12:23 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 10:42:21 | 4.57 | 3.61 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 10:42:22 | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-26 11:12:23 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 11:42:21 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 12:12:22 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 12:42:20 | 4.50 | 3.69 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 12:42:21 | 4.59 | 3.63 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 13:12:21 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 13:42:21 | 4.56 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-26 14:12:22 | 4.53 | 3.66 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 14:12:23 | 4.58 | 3.64 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 14:42:23 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 15:12:22 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 15:32:23 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 15:52:25 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 16:12:22 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 16:32:23 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 16:52:23 | 4.59 | 3.66 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-26 16:52:24 | 4.76 | 3.72 | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-26 17:12:28 | 4.64 | 3.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 17:32:24 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 17:52:24 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 18:22:27 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 18:52:27 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 19:22:28 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 19:54:19 | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-26 19:54:20 | 4.73 | 3.65 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 20:24:04 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 20:54:42 | 4.59 | 3.72 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-26 20:54:43 | 4.71 | 3.65 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 21:14:46 | 4.60 | 3.61 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 21:14:47 | 4.78 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-26 21:34:08 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 21:54:11 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 22:14:30 | 4.59 | 3.72 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-26 22:14:31 | 4.71 | 3.65 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 22:33:51 | 4.62 | 3.66 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 22:33:52 | 4.81 | 3.70 | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-26 22:54:43 | 4.62 | 3.66 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 22:54:44 | 4.81 | 3.70 | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-26 23:14:20 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 23:32:55 | 4.68 | 3.67 | 1.59 |
| 2026-09-26 23:54:02 | 4.62 | 3.66 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 23:54:03 | 4.81 | 3.70 | 1.63 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.26 | Kitakyushu | 1 : 1 | Kagoshima United |
| 2026.05.24 | Kitakyushu | 1 : 5 | Kagoshima United |
| 2026.04.05 | Kagoshima United | 1 : 1 | Kitakyushu |