경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J3 League Japan · Regular Season - 6

Matsumoto YamagaHOME · 2.27

1 : 32026.09.13 · 종료

SagamiharaAWAY · 2.89

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 4 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 8 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.5%

DRAW22.2%

AWAY39.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +8.0%

VALUE EDGE+8.0%

FAIR ODDS2.55

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 66/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -16.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -12.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -11.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Matsumoto Yamaga분석 지표Sagamihara

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.3 / 15

예측 분리도0.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME39.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승41.6%표본 202경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.4%

OPEN → NOW2.28 → 2.27배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

38.5%

DRAW

22.2%

AWAY

39.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Matsumoto Yamaga

D · 3-3D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-3

Sagamihara

D · 1-1L · 0-3L · 2-1W · 2-1W · 1-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.27

→

CURRENT2.27

+0.23%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.11

→

CURRENT3.12

+0.24%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.92

→

CURRENT2.86

-2.28%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-13 00:12:51	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 00:44:48	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 01:13:48	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 01:44:21	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 02:13:20	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 02:44:07	2.27	3.11	2.92
2026-09-13 02:52:02	2.30	2.90	2.90
2026-09-13 02:52:03	2.25	3.12	2.88
2026-09-13 03:22:03	2.25	3.05	2.90
2026-09-13 03:22:04	2.26	3.11	2.88
2026-09-13 03:52:02	2.25	3.05	2.90
2026-09-13 03:52:03	2.26	3.11	2.88
2026-09-13 04:22:03	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 04:52:02	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 05:22:02	2.25	3.07	2.90
2026-09-13 05:22:03	2.26	3.11	2.87
2026-09-13 05:52:03	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 06:22:04	2.24	3.09	2.85
2026-09-13 06:22:05	2.30	3.13	2.98
2026-09-13 06:52:04	2.25	3.07	2.90
2026-09-13 06:52:05	2.26	3.11	2.87
2026-09-13 07:22:05	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 07:52:03	2.24	3.11	2.87
2026-09-13 07:52:04	2.28	3.08	2.89
2026-09-13 08:22:04	2.25	3.07	2.90
2026-09-13 08:22:05	2.26	3.11	2.87
2026-09-13 08:52:04	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 09:22:04	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 09:52:04	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 10:22:05	2.25	3.07	2.90
2026-09-13 10:22:06	2.26	3.12	2.87
2026-09-13 10:52:03	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 11:22:04	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 11:52:06	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 12:22:05	2.24	3.09	2.85
2026-09-13 12:22:06	2.30	3.13	2.98
2026-09-13 12:52:04	2.25	3.09	2.86
2026-09-13 12:52:05	2.32	3.15	3.00
2026-09-13 13:22:05	2.24	3.11	2.87
2026-09-13 13:22:06	2.27	3.09	2.89
2026-09-13 13:52:06	2.24	3.09	2.85
2026-09-13 13:52:07	2.30	3.13	2.98
2026-09-13 14:22:07	2.26	3.10	2.88
2026-09-13 14:52:04	2.28	3.08	2.83
2026-09-13 14:52:05	2.27	3.13	2.87
2026-09-13 15:22:06	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 16:02:09	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 16:42:11	2.26	3.11	2.84
2026-09-13 16:42:12	2.35	3.20	2.95
2026-09-13 17:22:12	2.27	3.08	2.84
2026-09-13 17:22:13	2.28	3.14	2.87
2026-09-13 18:02:03	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 18:42:17	2.25	3.13	2.83
2026-09-13 18:42:18	2.30	3.11	2.88
2026-09-13 19:22:15	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 20:02:09	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 20:42:13	2.26	3.11	2.83
2026-09-13 20:42:14	2.32	3.15	2.95
2026-09-13 21:22:10	2.25	3.13	2.83
2026-09-13 21:22:11	2.30	3.11	2.88
2026-09-13 21:22:12	2.25	3.13	2.83
2026-09-13 21:22:13	2.30	3.11	2.88
2026-09-13 21:52:07	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 21:52:09	2.27	3.12	2.86
2026-09-13 22:22:15	2.26	3.11	2.84
2026-09-13 22:22:16	2.35	3.20	2.95
2026-09-13 22:22:17	2.25	3.13	2.83
2026-09-13 22:22:18	2.28	3.08	2.86
2026-09-13 22:22:19	2.35	3.20	2.95
2026-09-13 22:52:10	2.28	3.08	2.83
2026-09-13 22:52:11	2.27	3.13	2.87
2026-09-13 22:52:12	2.26	3.11	2.84
2026-09-13 22:52:13	2.35	3.20	2.95
2026-09-13 23:22:14	2.26	3.11	2.83
2026-09-13 23:22:15	2.32	3.15	2.95
2026-09-13 23:22:16	2.28	3.08	2.83
2026-09-13 23:22:17	2.27	3.13	2.87
2026-09-13 23:52:09	2.27	3.12	2.86

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.13	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 : 3	Sagamihara