경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ekstraklasa
Poland · Regular Season - 8

Gornik ZabrzeHOME · 2.80
2 : 12026.09.13 · 종료
Lech PoznanAWAY · 2.28

HOME · 현재 순위
1위
승점 22
· 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 19
· 8경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME10.4%
DRAW11.7%
AWAY77.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME32.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승22.3%표본 166경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.6%현재 이동 -2.9%
OPEN → NOW2.89 → 2.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:42:15
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Gornik ZabrzeW · 0-1W · 1-2L · 2-3L · 4-1L · 2-3
Lech PoznanW · 1-0W · 2-1W · 2-3D · 2-2W · 7-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME65 SNAPSHOTS
-0.26%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW65 SNAPSHOTS
+1.20%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY65 SNAPSHOTS
+0.32%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 00:15:25 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 00:12:28 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 00:42:33 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 01:12:30 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 01:42:25 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 02:12:25 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 02:52:28 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 03:32:28 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 04:12:24 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 04:52:30 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 05:32:28 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 06:52:31 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 07:32:33 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 08:12:31 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 08:52:36 | 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 09:32:33 | 2.82 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 10:13:57 | 2.82 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 10:54:02 | 2.83 | 3.43 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 10:54:03 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-12 11:33:28 | 2.83 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 11:33:29 | 2.82 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 12:13:29 | 2.83 | 3.43 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 12:13:30 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-12 12:22:04 | 2.82 | 3.43 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 12:22:05 | 2.85 | 3.47 | 2.32 |
| 2026-09-12 13:02:07 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| 2026-09-12 13:02:08 | 2.81 | 3.46 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:05 | 2.84 | 3.38 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:06 | 2.81 | 3.47 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 14:22:04 | 2.82 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 15:02:06 | 2.83 | 3.46 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-12 15:42:09 | 2.83 | 3.46 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-12 16:22:13 | 2.84 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 16:22:14 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-12 17:02:14 | 2.83 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 17:02:15 | 2.81 | 3.51 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 17:02:16 | 2.85 | 3.47 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:15 | 2.83 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:16 | 2.88 | 3.55 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:17 | 2.80 | 3.39 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:18 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-12 18:22:17 | 2.85 | 3.47 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-12 18:22:18 | 2.80 | 3.43 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:23 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:24 | 2.84 | 3.51 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:25 | 2.80 | 3.43 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:27 | 2.84 | 3.38 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:28 | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 19:02:29 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:19 | 2.83 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:20 | 2.83 | 3.49 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:22 | 2.84 | 3.46 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 19:42:23 | 2.86 | 3.47 | 2.32 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:15 | 2.84 | 3.38 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:16 | 2.83 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:18 | 2.83 | 3.45 | 2.26 |
| 2026-09-12 20:22:19 | 2.86 | 3.47 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-12 21:02:11 | 2.84 | 3.46 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:16 | 2.83 | 3.45 | 2.26 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:17 | 2.86 | 3.47 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-12 22:22:20 | 2.83 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 22:22:21 | 2.85 | 3.48 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 23:02:12 | 2.84 | 3.46 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:14 | 2.83 | 3.44 | 2.28 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:15 | 2.85 | 3.48 | 2.28 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.13 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 : 1 | Lech Poznan |
| 2026.07.17 | Lech Poznan | 3 : 1 | Gornik Zabrze |