경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ekstraklasa Poland · Regular Season - 8

Raków CzęstochowaHOME · 1.89

2 : 12026.09.12 · 종료

Motor LublinAWAY · 3.52

HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 15위 승점 5 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.9%

DRAW19.9%

AWAY24.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM60 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 60/100

AI PICK HOME 45.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +6.9%

VALUE EDGE+6.9%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 68/100 · MEDIUM RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.4%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Raków Częstochowa분석 지표Motor Lublin

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

2.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

14.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

60/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지12.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.1 / 15

예측 분리도13.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.5%표본 208경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승40.4%현재 이동 +8.0%

OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.89배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

55.9%

DRAW

19.9%

AWAY

24.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Raków Częstochowa

L · 1-0L · 1-2L · 2-5L · 2-3D · 2-2

Motor Lublin

L · 2-3W · 3-0D · 1-1W · 1-0L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.76

→

CURRENT1.89

+7.39%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.82

→

CURRENT3.78

-1.16%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.03

→

CURRENT3.51

-12.81%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 00:15:14	1.76	3.82	4.03
2026-09-10 12:15:13	1.77	3.83	3.93
2026-09-11 00:02:13	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 00:22:21	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 00:42:14	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 01:02:14	1.77	3.88	3.92
2026-09-11 01:02:15	1.80	3.77	3.85
2026-09-11 01:22:15	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 01:42:14	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 02:02:17	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 02:22:14	1.78	3.83	3.89
2026-09-11 02:42:15	1.81	3.90	3.85
2026-09-11 02:42:16	1.79	3.82	3.86
2026-09-11 03:02:15	1.78	3.87	3.87
2026-09-11 03:02:16	1.81	3.77	3.83
2026-09-11 03:22:16	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 03:42:16	1.78	3.87	3.87
2026-09-11 03:42:17	1.81	3.77	3.83
2026-09-11 04:02:15	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 04:22:18	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 04:42:16	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 05:02:16	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 05:22:16	1.79	3.83	3.86
2026-09-11 08:02:16	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 08:22:16	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 08:42:14	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 09:02:15	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 09:22:14	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 09:42:13	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 10:02:14	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 10:22:15	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 10:42:15	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 11:42:11	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 12:02:10	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 12:22:11	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 12:42:11	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 13:02:09	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 13:22:10	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 13:42:10	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 14:02:11	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 14:22:10	1.79	3.83	3.83
2026-09-11 14:42:11	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 15:02:11	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 15:22:11	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 15:42:11	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 16:02:10	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 16:22:10	1.80	3.80	3.70
2026-09-11 16:22:11	1.78	3.89	3.87
2026-09-11 16:42:10	1.78	3.75	3.80
2026-09-11 16:42:11	1.79	3.93	3.86
2026-09-11 17:02:11	1.79	3.87	3.84
2026-09-11 17:02:12	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 17:22:12	1.79	3.86	3.81
2026-09-11 17:42:11	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 18:02:11	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 18:22:10	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 18:42:11	1.79	3.78	3.77
2026-09-11 18:42:12	1.84	3.99	3.82
2026-09-11 19:02:11	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 19:22:13	1.79	3.78	3.77
2026-09-11 19:22:14	1.84	3.99	3.82
2026-09-11 19:42:11	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 20:02:11	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 20:22:10	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 20:42:12	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 21:02:13	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 21:22:12	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 21:42:13	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 22:02:12	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 22:22:12	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 22:42:13	1.80	3.85	3.79
2026-09-11 23:02:12	1.89	3.78	3.51
2026-09-11 23:22:11	1.89	3.78	3.51
2026-09-11 23:42:11	1.89	3.78	3.51

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Raków Częstochowa	2 : 1	Motor Lublin