경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ekstraklasa Poland · Regular Season - 7

Lech PoznanHOME · 1.54

1 : 02026.09.07 · 종료

Raków CzęstochowaAWAY · 5.02

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 13 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.8%

DRAW11.3%

AWAY6.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 56.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +21.6%

VALUE EDGE+21.6%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +47.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +48.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +33.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Lech Poznan분석 지표Raków Częstochowa

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.17

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME60.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승56.3%표본 135경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.9%현재 이동 -3.8%

OPEN → NOW1.60 → 1.54배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:43:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

81.8%

DRAW

11.3%

AWAY

6.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Lech Poznan

W · 2-1W · 2-3D · 2-2W · 7-0W · 0-5

Raków Częstochowa

L · 1-2L · 2-5L · 2-3D · 2-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.61

→

CURRENT1.55

-3.79%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.22

→

CURRENT4.35

+3.28%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.68

→

CURRENT4.93

+5.51%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:31	1.61	4.22	4.68
2026-09-05 12:15:35	1.59	4.23	4.62
2026-09-06 00:03:16	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 00:33:56	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 01:02:27	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 01:33:09	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 02:02:27	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 02:33:01	1.62	4.00	4.50
2026-09-06 02:33:02	1.59	4.24	4.63
2026-09-06 03:03:08	1.60	4.20	4.61
2026-09-06 03:03:14	1.59	4.16	4.53
2026-09-06 03:03:15	1.61	4.33	4.81
2026-09-06 03:33:14	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 04:02:58	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 04:33:14	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 05:02:56	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 05:33:20	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 06:02:55	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 06:33:26	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 07:03:14	1.59	4.16	4.53
2026-09-06 07:03:15	1.61	4.33	4.81
2026-09-06 07:33:33	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 08:02:56	1.60	4.21	4.62
2026-09-06 08:33:46	1.60	4.18	4.50
2026-09-06 08:33:47	1.60	4.25	4.74
2026-09-06 09:02:48	1.59	4.24	4.65
2026-09-06 09:33:35	1.59	4.24	4.65
2026-09-06 10:02:28	1.59	4.24	4.65
2026-09-06 10:33:16	1.59	4.24	4.65
2026-09-06 11:03:09	1.62	4.00	4.50
2026-09-06 11:03:10	1.59	4.29	4.68
2026-09-06 11:33:42	1.59	4.24	4.65
2026-09-06 12:02:47	1.59	4.26	4.63
2026-09-06 12:34:04	1.61	4.17	4.35
2026-09-06 12:34:05	1.58	4.30	4.78
2026-09-06 13:02:54	1.59	4.26	4.63
2026-09-06 13:33:35	1.62	4.00	4.50
2026-09-06 13:33:36	1.59	4.31	4.66
2026-09-06 14:03:43	1.59	4.26	4.63
2026-09-06 14:33:14	1.59	4.26	4.63
2026-09-06 15:03:45	1.57	4.00	4.60
2026-09-06 15:03:46	1.57	4.35	4.75
2026-09-06 15:32:50	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 16:03:43	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 16:33:49	1.57	4.25	4.47
2026-09-06 16:33:50	1.58	4.32	4.86
2026-09-06 17:03:14	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 17:34:10	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 18:03:15	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 18:35:08	1.57	4.27	4.59
2026-09-06 18:35:09	1.58	4.32	4.86
2026-09-06 19:13:36	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 19:55:33	1.57	4.29	4.73
2026-09-06 20:33:38	1.57	4.27	4.59
2026-09-06 20:33:39	1.58	4.32	4.86
2026-09-06 21:13:29	1.55	4.35	4.93
2026-09-06 21:43:27	1.55	4.35	4.93
2026-09-06 22:14:00	1.55	4.35	4.93
2026-09-06 22:43:29	1.55	4.20	4.80
2026-09-06 22:43:30	1.54	4.38	4.96
2026-09-06 23:13:31	1.55	4.35	4.93
2026-09-06 23:43:08	1.55	4.35	4.93

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Lech Poznan	1 : 0	Raków Częstochowa