경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ekstraklasa
Poland · Regular Season - 7

Motor LublinHOME · 3.51
2 : 32026.09.06 · 종료
Legia WarszawaAWAY · 1.98

HOME · 현재 순위
15위
승점 5
· 6경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 12
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.2%
DRAW22.0%
AWAY15.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME26.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승19.5%표본 87경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -5.1%
OPEN → NOW3.70 → 3.51배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:42:25
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Motor LublinW · 3-0D · 1-1W · 1-0L · 3-1L · 1-2
Legia WarszawaL · 3-0D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 5-0D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME49 SNAPSHOTS
-4.58%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW49 SNAPSHOTS
-1.36%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY49 SNAPSHOTS
+4.06%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-04 00:15:36 | 3.65 | 3.59 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-04 12:15:37 | 3.64 | 3.58 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 00:42:39 | 3.64 | 3.58 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 01:12:40 | 3.63 | 3.57 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 01:12:41 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-05 01:42:35 | 3.64 | 3.58 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 02:12:32 | 3.64 | 3.58 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 02:42:32 | 3.68 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| 2026-09-05 02:42:33 | 3.63 | 3.57 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-05 03:12:33 | 3.64 | 3.58 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 03:22:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 03:52:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 04:22:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 05:02:05 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 05:42:03 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 06:22:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 07:02:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 07:42:05 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 08:22:04 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 09:02:05 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 09:42:05 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 10:22:06 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 11:02:11 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 11:42:12 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 11:42:13 | 3.56 | 3.54 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 12:22:11 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 13:02:14 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 13:42:06 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 14:22:13 | 3.54 | 3.50 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 14:22:14 | 3.54 | 3.54 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 15:02:20 | 3.54 | 3.50 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 15:02:21 | 3.54 | 3.54 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 15:42:08 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 16:22:27 | 3.48 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 16:22:28 | 3.54 | 3.54 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 17:02:08 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 17:42:21 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 18:22:32 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 19:02:33 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 19:42:28 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 20:22:14 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 21:02:30 | 3.48 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 21:02:31 | 3.54 | 3.54 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 21:42:07 | 3.49 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 22:22:33 | 3.49 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 23:02:22 | 3.40 | 3.45 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 23:02:23 | 3.53 | 3.52 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 23:42:24 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 23:42:25 | 3.49 | 3.54 | 1.98 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Motor Lublin | 2 : 3 | Legia Warszawa |
| 2026.09.02 | Motor Lublin | 3 : 0 | Legia Warszawa |