경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ekstraklasa Poland · Regular Season - 5

Lech PoznanHOME · 1.65

2 : 12026.09.04 · 종료

JagielloniaAWAY · 4.33

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 10 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 9 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.5%

DRAW20.8%

AWAY16.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +6.2%

VALUE EDGE+6.2%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 98/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +6.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +13.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +4.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Lech Poznan분석 지표Jagiellonia

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

2.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.92

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승53.1%표본 162경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.3%현재 이동 -7.8%

OPEN → NOW1.79 → 1.65배당 업데이트 2026-09-03 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

62.5%

DRAW

20.8%

AWAY

16.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Lech Poznan

W · 2-3D · 2-2W · 7-0W · 0-5W · 3-0

Jagiellonia

W · 2-5W · 1-2W · 4-0D · 1-1L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.64

→

CURRENT1.65

+0.75%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.13

→

CURRENT4.19

+1.32%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.45

→

CURRENT4.33

-2.87%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-03 12:02:05	1.64	4.13	4.45
2026-09-03 12:12:06	1.64	4.13	4.45
2026-09-03 12:22:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 12:32:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 12:42:05	1.69	4.04	4.26
2026-09-03 12:42:06	1.68	4.01	4.22
2026-09-03 12:52:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:02:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:12:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:22:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:32:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:42:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 13:52:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:02:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:12:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:22:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:32:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:42:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 14:52:06	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 15:02:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 15:12:05	1.69	4.03	4.24
2026-09-03 15:22:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 15:32:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 15:42:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 15:52:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:02:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:12:04	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:22:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:32:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:42:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 16:52:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 17:02:05	1.67	4.10	4.10
2026-09-03 17:02:06	1.67	4.09	4.28
2026-09-03 17:12:05	1.67	4.13	4.26
2026-09-03 17:12:06	1.67	4.03	4.23
2026-09-03 17:22:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 17:32:06	1.66	4.09	4.23
2026-09-03 17:32:07	1.70	4.10	4.32
2026-09-03 17:42:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 17:52:06	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 18:02:05	1.67	4.09	4.25
2026-09-03 18:12:05	1.67	4.13	4.26
2026-09-03 18:12:06	1.67	4.03	4.23
2026-09-03 18:22:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 18:32:06	1.66	4.11	4.24
2026-09-03 18:32:07	1.67	4.25	4.43
2026-09-03 18:42:04	1.66	4.10	4.18
2026-09-03 18:42:05	1.67	4.14	4.30
2026-09-03 18:52:06	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:02:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:12:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:22:06	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:32:06	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:42:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 19:52:06	1.66	4.11	4.29
2026-09-03 19:52:07	1.67	4.14	4.26
2026-09-03 20:02:05	1.66	4.11	4.29
2026-09-03 20:02:06	1.67	4.14	4.26
2026-09-03 20:12:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 20:22:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 20:32:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 20:42:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 20:52:06	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 21:02:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 21:12:05	1.66	4.13	4.27
2026-09-03 21:22:06	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 21:32:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 21:42:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 21:52:06	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 22:02:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 22:12:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 22:22:07	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 22:32:08	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 22:52:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:02:09	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:12:06	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:22:11	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:32:06	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:42:05	1.65	4.19	4.33
2026-09-03 23:52:06	1.65	4.19	4.33

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Lech Poznan	2 : 1	Jagiellonia