경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eerste Divisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 6

Jong AjaxHOME · 3.28

0 : 22026.09.12 · 종료

WaalwijkAWAY · 1.95

HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 0경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 0 · 0경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.1%

DRAW23.5%

AWAY26.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW43 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 43/100

AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +21.5%

VALUE EDGE+21.5%

FAIR ODDS2.00

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 66/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -2.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET AWAY -19.4%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Jong Ajax분석 지표Waalwijk

20.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.30 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

2.60 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

43/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.0 / 15

예측 분리도10.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승29.3%표본 123경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -0.8%

OPEN → NOW3.30 → 3.28배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

50.1%

DRAW

23.5%

AWAY

26.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Jong Ajax

W · 0-1D · 1-1W · 3-2L · 3-2L · 4-6

Waalwijk

W · 4-2D · 2-2D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.28

→

CURRENT3.23

-1.49%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.78

→

CURRENT3.99

+5.50%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.96

→

CURRENT1.94

-0.92%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-11 00:22:17	3.28	3.78	1.96
2026-09-11 00:42:11	3.30	3.85	1.95
2026-09-11 00:42:12	3.28	3.78	1.96
2026-09-11 01:02:12	3.28	3.78	1.96
2026-09-11 01:22:12	3.29	3.84	1.95
2026-09-11 01:22:13	3.28	3.73	1.97
2026-09-11 01:42:11	3.29	3.84	1.95
2026-09-11 01:42:12	3.28	3.73	1.97
2026-09-11 02:02:15	3.28	3.78	1.96
2026-09-11 02:22:11	3.28	3.78	1.96
2026-09-11 02:42:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 03:02:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 03:22:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 03:42:14	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 04:02:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 04:22:15	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 04:42:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 05:02:13	3.26	3.75	1.96
2026-09-11 05:02:14	3.30	3.95	2.02
2026-09-11 05:22:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 05:42:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 06:02:14	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 06:22:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 06:42:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 07:02:14	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 07:22:14	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 07:42:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 08:02:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 08:22:13	3.27	3.77	1.97
2026-09-11 08:42:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 09:02:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 09:22:11	3.30	3.60	1.95
2026-09-11 09:22:12	3.35	3.82	1.95
2026-09-11 09:42:11	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 10:02:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 10:22:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 10:42:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 11:02:10	3.31	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 11:02:11	3.41	3.78	1.97
2026-09-11 11:22:12	3.34	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 11:42:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 12:02:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 12:22:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 12:42:10	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 13:02:08	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 13:22:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 13:42:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 14:02:08	3.31	3.79	1.95
2026-09-11 14:02:09	3.42	3.72	1.95
2026-09-11 14:22:09	3.33	3.78	1.95
2026-09-11 14:42:10	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 15:02:10	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 15:22:10	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 15:42:10	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 16:02:09	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 16:22:09	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 16:42:09	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 17:02:09	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 17:22:10	3.25	3.87	1.97
2026-09-11 17:42:08	3.28	3.85	1.94
2026-09-11 17:42:09	3.32	3.91	1.95
2026-09-11 18:02:09	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 18:22:08	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 18:42:09	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 19:02:08	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 19:22:11	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 19:42:09	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 20:02:08	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 20:22:08	3.30	3.88	1.94
2026-09-11 20:42:10	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 21:02:11	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 21:22:10	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 21:42:11	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 22:02:10	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 22:22:10	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 22:42:11	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 23:02:10	3.22	3.83	1.96
2026-09-11 23:02:11	3.30	4.00	2.00
2026-09-11 23:22:09	3.23	3.84	1.96
2026-09-11 23:42:09	3.23	3.99	1.94

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Jong Ajax	0 : 2	Waalwijk