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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines · Governors Cup - Semi-finals
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelHOME · -
104 : 942022.03.25 · 종료
NLEX Road WarriorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.0%
VALUE EDGE+52.0%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelAnalysis MetricsNLEX Road Warriors
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better +10.92
206.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 209.42
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
W · 86-95W · 115-95W · 92-104W · 104-93L · 115-103
NLEX Road Warriors
L · 86-95W · 80-96L · 79-93W · 115-103W · 89-106

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.11.02NLEX Road Warriors74 : 104Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2025.05.07Barangay Ginebra San Miguel86 : 89NLEX Road Warriors
2024.01.13Barangay Ginebra San Miguel103 : 99NLEX Road Warriors
2022.03.30Barangay Ginebra San Miguel112 : 93NLEX Road Warriors
2022.03.27NLEX Road Warriors86 : 85Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2022.03.25Barangay Ginebra San Miguel104 : 94NLEX Road Warriors
2022.03.23NLEX Road Warriors86 : 95Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2022.03.04NLEX Road Warriors115 : 103Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2017.08.05Barangay Ginebra San Miguel110 : 97NLEX Road Warriors
2017.01.29NLEX Road Warriors80 : 90Barangay Ginebra San Miguel