Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines · Governors Cup - Semi-finals
NLEX Road WarriorsHOME · -
86 : 952022.03.23 · 종료
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.2%
VALUE EDGE+52.2%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADES
NLEX Road WarriorsAnalysis MetricsBarangay Ginebra San Miguel
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+10.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.92
209.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
206.92
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NLEX Road Warriors
W · 80-96L · 79-93W · 115-103W · 89-106W · 97-117
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
W · 115-95W · 92-104W · 104-93L · 115-103W · 112-107
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.11.02 | NLEX Road Warriors | 74 : 104 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2025.05.07 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 86 : 89 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2024.01.13 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 103 : 99 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2022.03.30 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 112 : 93 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2022.03.27 | NLEX Road Warriors | 86 : 85 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2022.03.25 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 104 : 94 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2022.03.23 | NLEX Road Warriors | 86 : 95 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2022.03.04 | NLEX Road Warriors | 115 : 103 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2017.08.05 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 110 : 97 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2017.01.29 | NLEX Road Warriors | 80 : 90 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |