Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines · Governors Cup - Semi-finals
Meralco BoltsHOME · -
80 : 942022.03.23 · 종료
Magnolia HotshotsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.6%
VALUE EDGE+60.6%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Meralco BoltsAnalysis MetricsMagnolia Hotshots
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
193.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.00
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Meralco Bolts
W · 85-100W · 90-109L · 110-115L · 85-88L · 94-93
Magnolia Hotshots
W · 127-88L · 101-100W · 118-91W · 85-88W · 104-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.10.19 | Meralco Bolts | 78 : 76 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2025.05.14 | Meralco Bolts | 92 : 117 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2024.01.06 | Magnolia Hotshots | 80 : 85 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.11.27 | Magnolia Hotshots | 108 : 96 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.04.01 | Meralco Bolts | 94 : 81 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2022.03.30 | Magnolia Hotshots | 94 : 73 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.03.27 | Meralco Bolts | 101 : 95 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2022.03.25 | Magnolia Hotshots | 75 : 81 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.03.23 | Meralco Bolts | 80 : 94 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2022.03.02 | Meralco Bolts | 85 : 88 | Magnolia Hotshots |