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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines · Governors Cup - Quarter-finals
Alaska AcesHOME · -
80 : 962022.03.19 · 종료
NLEX Road WarriorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.0%
VALUE EDGE+63.0%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Alaska AcesAnalysis MetricsNLEX Road Warriors
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better +10.92
181.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 209.42
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alaska Aces
W · 79-93L · 118-91L · 99-104W · 94-93L · 89-106
NLEX Road Warriors
L · 79-93W · 115-103W · 89-106W · 97-117L · 109-112

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.19Alaska Aces80 : 96NLEX Road Warriors
2022.03.16NLEX Road Warriors79 : 93Alaska Aces
2022.02.23Alaska Aces89 : 106NLEX Road Warriors
2017.07.19Alaska Aces104 : 112NLEX Road Warriors
2015.06.02Alaska Aces102 : 113NLEX Road Warriors