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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines · Governors Cup - Quarter-finals
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelHOME · -
115 : 952022.03.19 · 종료
TNT KaTropaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelAnalysis MetricsTNT KaTropa
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better +9.58
206.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.25
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
W · 92-104W · 104-93L · 115-103W · 112-107W · 100-109
TNT KaTropa
L · 92-104W · 127-107W · 93-106W · 119-92W · 81-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.06.08Barangay Ginebra San Miguel97 : 78TNT KaTropa
2023.12.25Barangay Ginebra San Miguel86 : 78TNT KaTropa
2022.11.20TNT KaTropa85 : 89Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2022.03.19Barangay Ginebra San Miguel115 : 95TNT KaTropa
2022.03.16TNT KaTropa92 : 104Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2022.02.18TNT KaTropa119 : 92Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2017.10.08Barangay Ginebra San Miguel115 : 105TNT KaTropa
2017.10.06Barangay Ginebra San Miguel106 : 103TNT KaTropa
2017.10.04TNT KaTropa103 : 96Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2017.10.02TNT KaTropa94 : 121Barangay Ginebra San Miguel