Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines · Governors Cup - Quarter-finals
San Miguel BeermenHOME · -
85 : 1002022.03.18 · 종료
Meralco BoltsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
San Miguel BeermenAnalysis MetricsMeralco Bolts
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.33
207.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
193.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
12.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Miguel Beermen
W · 110-115W · 104-100L · 104-87W · 104-99W · 102-110
Meralco Bolts
W · 90-109L · 110-115L · 85-88L · 94-93W · 107-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.19 | Meralco Bolts | 104 : 113 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2025.06.20 | Meralco Bolts | 97 : 108 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2025.04.09 | Meralco Bolts | 98 : 110 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2023.11.19 | Meralco Bolts | 83 : 93 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2022.12.02 | San Miguel Beermen | 113 : 108 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.03.18 | San Miguel Beermen | 85 : 100 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2022.03.05 | Meralco Bolts | 110 : 115 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2017.09.24 | San Miguel Beermen | 101 : 104 | Meralco Bolts |
| 2016.12.28 | Meralco Bolts | 86 : 101 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2015.06.29 | San Miguel Beermen | 102 : 86 | Meralco Bolts |