Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines · Governors Cup - Quarter-finals
TNT KaTropaHOME · -
92 : 1042022.03.16 · 종료
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADES
TNT KaTropaAnalysis MetricsBarangay Ginebra San Miguel
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+9.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.92
193.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
206.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
TNT KaTropa
W · 127-107W · 93-106W · 119-92W · 81-96L · 92-93
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
W · 104-93L · 115-103W · 112-107W · 100-109L · 102-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.06.08 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 97 : 78 | TNT KaTropa |
| 2023.12.25 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 86 : 78 | TNT KaTropa |
| 2022.11.20 | TNT KaTropa | 85 : 89 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2022.03.19 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 115 : 95 | TNT KaTropa |
| 2022.03.16 | TNT KaTropa | 92 : 104 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2022.02.18 | TNT KaTropa | 119 : 92 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2017.10.08 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 115 : 105 | TNT KaTropa |
| 2017.10.06 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel | 106 : 103 | TNT KaTropa |
| 2017.10.04 | TNT KaTropa | 103 : 96 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |
| 2017.10.02 | TNT KaTropa | 94 : 121 | Barangay Ginebra San Miguel |