Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines · Governors Cup - Quarter-finals
NLEX Road WarriorsHOME · -
79 : 932022.03.16 · 종료
Alaska AcesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADES
NLEX Road WarriorsAnalysis MetricsAlaska Aces
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.50
209.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
181.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
11.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NLEX Road Warriors
W · 115-103W · 89-106W · 97-117L · 109-112L · 110-100
Alaska Aces
L · 118-91L · 99-104W · 94-93L · 89-106W · 97-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.19 | Alaska Aces | 80 : 96 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2022.03.16 | NLEX Road Warriors | 79 : 93 | Alaska Aces |
| 2022.02.23 | Alaska Aces | 89 : 106 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2017.07.19 | Alaska Aces | 104 : 112 | NLEX Road Warriors |
| 2015.06.02 | Alaska Aces | 102 : 113 | NLEX Road Warriors |