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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Governors Cup Philippines
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelHOME · -
104 : 932022.03.06 · 종료
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADES
Barangay Ginebra San MiguelAnalysis MetricsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
206.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 217.75
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
L · 115-103W · 112-107W · 100-109L · 102-110L · 119-92
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
L · 104-100L · 88-93L · 80-74W · 104-90L · 95-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.09Barangay Ginebra San Miguel129 : 111Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2025.12.18Rain or Shine Elasto Painters100 : 102Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2025.06.15Rain or Shine Elasto Painters80 : 98Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2023.11.24Rain or Shine Elasto Painters102 : 107Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2022.09.28Barangay Ginebra San Miguel71 : 93Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2022.03.06Barangay Ginebra San Miguel104 : 93Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2017.09.16Barangay Ginebra San Miguel89 : 82Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2016.12.04Rain or Shine Elasto Painters74 : 81Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2015.05.23Rain or Shine Elasto Painters81 : 93Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2011.04.13Barangay Ginebra San Miguel92 : 82Rain or Shine Elasto Painters