Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines
Magnolia HotshotsHOME · -
118 : 912022.03.06 · 종료
Alaska AcesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Magnolia HotshotsAnalysis MetricsAlaska Aces
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.92
186.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Magnolia Hotshots
W · 85-88W · 104-87L · 103-101W · 103-83W · 109-112
Alaska Aces
L · 99-104W · 94-93L · 89-106W · 97-102W · 80-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.03.06 | Magnolia Hotshots | 118 : 91 | Alaska Aces |
| 2017.07.28 | Alaska Aces | 92 : 101 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2015.07.05 | Magnolia Hotshots | 77 : 82 | Alaska Aces |
| 2015.07.03 | Alaska Aces | 95 : 74 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2015.07.01 | Magnolia Hotshots | 91 : 97 | Alaska Aces |
| 2015.05.27 | Magnolia Hotshots | 86 : 92 | Alaska Aces |
| 2011.03.13 | Alaska Aces | 97 : 91 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2010.04.17 | Alaska Aces | 83 : 81 | Magnolia Hotshots |