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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines
Meralco BoltsHOME · -
110 : 1152022.03.05 · 종료
San Miguel BeermenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Meralco BoltsAnalysis MetricsSan Miguel Beermen
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42
193.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 207.25
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Meralco Bolts
L · 85-88L · 94-93W · 107-95W · 88-93L · 98-109
San Miguel Beermen
W · 104-100L · 104-87W · 104-99W · 102-110L · 81-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.19Meralco Bolts104 : 113San Miguel Beermen
2025.06.20Meralco Bolts97 : 108San Miguel Beermen
2025.04.09Meralco Bolts98 : 110San Miguel Beermen
2023.11.19Meralco Bolts83 : 93San Miguel Beermen
2022.12.02San Miguel Beermen113 : 108Meralco Bolts
2022.03.18San Miguel Beermen85 : 100Meralco Bolts
2022.03.05Meralco Bolts110 : 115San Miguel Beermen
2017.09.24San Miguel Beermen101 : 104Meralco Bolts
2016.12.28Meralco Bolts86 : 101San Miguel Beermen
2015.06.29San Miguel Beermen102 : 86Meralco Bolts