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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines
San Miguel BeermenHOME · -
104 : 1002022.03.03 · 종료
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.2%
VALUE EDGE+52.2%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
San Miguel BeermenAnalysis MetricsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
207.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 217.75
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Miguel Beermen
L · 104-87W · 104-99W · 102-110L · 81-96W · 88-100
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
L · 88-93L · 80-74W · 104-90L · 95-92L · 98-109

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.10.19Rain or Shine Elasto Painters93 : 111San Miguel Beermen
2025.06.07Rain or Shine Elasto Painters111 : 120San Miguel Beermen
2024.01.19Rain or Shine Elasto Painters122 : 127San Miguel Beermen
2023.11.29San Miguel Beermen115 : 110Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2022.10.09San Miguel Beermen113 : 105Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2022.03.03San Miguel Beermen104 : 100Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2017.09.06San Miguel Beermen103 : 96Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2017.02.05San Miguel Beermen98 : 91Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2015.07.08San Miguel Beermen117 : 110Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2015.07.06Rain or Shine Elasto Painters108 : 114San Miguel Beermen