Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Governors Cup
Philippines
Magnolia HotshotsHOME · -
104 : 872022.02.27 · 종료
San Miguel BeermenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Magnolia HotshotsAnalysis MetricsSan Miguel Beermen
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
186.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
207.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Magnolia Hotshots
L · 103-101W · 103-83W · 109-112W · 96-93W · 94-117
San Miguel Beermen
W · 104-99W · 102-110L · 81-96W · 88-100W · 107-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.11.07 | San Miguel Beermen | 94 : 92 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2024.02.14 | Magnolia Hotshots | 102 : 104 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2024.02.11 | San Miguel Beermen | 108 : 98 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2024.02.09 | Magnolia Hotshots | 96 : 85 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2024.02.07 | San Miguel Beermen | 80 : 88 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2024.02.04 | Magnolia Hotshots | 85 : 109 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2024.02.02 | San Miguel Beermen | 103 : 95 | Magnolia Hotshots |
| 2023.12.10 | Magnolia Hotshots | 94 : 90 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2022.11.16 | Magnolia Hotshots | 85 : 80 | San Miguel Beermen |
| 2022.02.27 | Magnolia Hotshots | 104 : 87 | San Miguel Beermen |