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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Governors Cup Philippines
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersHOME · -
88 : 932022.02.20 · 종료
Meralco BoltsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersAnalysis MetricsMeralco Bolts
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.08 Point MarginHigher is better +5.33
217.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 193.50
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
L · 80-74W · 104-90L · 95-92L · 98-109W · 88-90
Meralco Bolts
L · 98-109W · 95-101W · 110-100W · 83-80W · 77-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.29Meralco Bolts98 : 89Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2025.12.27Rain or Shine Elasto Painters79 : 96Meralco Bolts
2025.04.27Rain or Shine Elasto Painters128 : 116Meralco Bolts
2023.11.08Meralco Bolts107 : 102Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2022.10.22Rain or Shine Elasto Painters113 : 96Meralco Bolts
2022.02.20Rain or Shine Elasto Painters88 : 93Meralco Bolts
2017.07.29Meralco Bolts89 : 73Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2017.01.20Meralco Bolts82 : 72Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2015.06.21Meralco Bolts89 : 96Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
2011.02.27Rain or Shine Elasto Painters101 : 92Meralco Bolts