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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA Orlando Summer League USA
Detroit PistonsHOME · -
80 : 782014.07.09 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Detroit PistonsAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+9.67 Point MarginHigher is better -2.92
225.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.25
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Detroit Pistons
W · 85-82W · 89-95L · 90-85W · 78-77L · 79-75
Miami Heat
W · 91-110L · 85-77W · 90-85L · 78-77W · 80-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.24Miami Heat111 : 128Detroit Pistons
2019.11.13Miami Heat117 : 108Detroit Pistons
2017.03.29Detroit Pistons96 : 97Miami Heat
2017.01.29Miami Heat116 : 103Detroit Pistons
2017.01.02Miami Heat98 : 107Detroit Pistons
2016.11.24Detroit Pistons107 : 84Miami Heat
2016.07.08Miami Heat58 : 71Detroit Pistons
2016.04.13Detroit Pistons93 : 99Miami Heat
2016.04.06Miami Heat107 : 89Detroit Pistons
2015.12.23Miami Heat92 : 93Detroit Pistons