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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Stockton KingsHOME · -
133 : 1272016.04.03 · 종료
Northern Arizona SunsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
Stockton KingsAnalysis MetricsNorthern Arizona Suns
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
237.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 227.33
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stockton Kings
W · 130-124W · 131-113W · 118-111W · 126-113W · 115-121
Northern Arizona Suns
L · 130-124L · 104-112W · 115-119L · 139-125L · 110-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.04.02Stockton Kings124 : 116Northern Arizona Suns
2016.12.04Northern Arizona Suns130 : 106Stockton Kings
2016.11.26Northern Arizona Suns87 : 80Stockton Kings
2016.04.03Stockton Kings133 : 127Northern Arizona Suns
2016.04.02Stockton Kings130 : 124Northern Arizona Suns
2016.02.17Northern Arizona Suns126 : 130Stockton Kings
2016.01.29Northern Arizona Suns135 : 138Stockton Kings
2015.12.31Stockton Kings123 : 97Northern Arizona Suns
2015.11.16Northern Arizona Suns119 : 123Stockton Kings
2013.04.02Stockton Kings94 : 124Northern Arizona Suns