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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Austin Toros SpursHOME · -
104 : 842016.04.03 · 종료
Texas LegendsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Austin Toros SpursAnalysis MetricsTexas Legends
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
214.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 238.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation11.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin Toros Spurs
W · 115-108W · 104-112W · 72-98L · 113-120W · 106-93
Texas Legends
W · 139-109L · 116-121W · 85-88L · 106-93L · 126-113

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.26Texas Legends114 : 117Austin Toros Spurs
2017.02.10Austin Toros Spurs115 : 109Texas Legends
2017.01.28Texas Legends97 : 113Austin Toros Spurs
2016.12.29Austin Toros Spurs125 : 130Texas Legends
2016.04.03Austin Toros Spurs104 : 84Texas Legends
2016.03.25Austin Toros Spurs106 : 93Texas Legends
2016.02.11Texas Legends91 : 95Austin Toros Spurs
2016.02.07Texas Legends108 : 107Austin Toros Spurs
2015.11.14Austin Toros Spurs106 : 81Texas Legends
2013.02.06Texas Legends91 : 102Austin Toros Spurs