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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Austin Toros SpursHOME · -
73 : 1032016.03.21 · 종료
Northern Arizona SunsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.0%
VALUE EDGE+56.0%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADES
Austin Toros SpursAnalysis MetricsNorthern Arizona Suns
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
214.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 227.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin Toros Spurs
L · 115-121L · 104-109L · 107-99L · 100-90W · 92-96
Northern Arizona Suns
W · 107-105L · 114-126W · 142-123L · 93-102L · 124-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.30Northern Arizona Suns101 : 114Austin Toros Spurs
2017.02.25Austin Toros Spurs110 : 103Northern Arizona Suns
2017.01.27Austin Toros Spurs123 : 96Northern Arizona Suns
2017.01.21Northern Arizona Suns101 : 106Austin Toros Spurs
2016.03.30Northern Arizona Suns104 : 112Austin Toros Spurs
2016.03.21Austin Toros Spurs73 : 103Northern Arizona Suns
2016.03.09Northern Arizona Suns93 : 102Austin Toros Spurs
2016.01.15Northern Arizona Suns100 : 105Austin Toros Spurs
2015.12.28Austin Toros Spurs96 : 87Northern Arizona Suns
2013.04.15Northern Arizona Suns107 : 114Austin Toros Spurs