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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Austin Toros SpursHOME · -
115 : 1212016.03.19 · 종료
Stockton KingsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Austin Toros SpursAnalysis MetricsStockton Kings
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
214.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin Toros Spurs
L · 104-109L · 107-99L · 100-90W · 92-96W · 93-102
Stockton Kings
L · 142-121L · 130-123W · 122-126W · 155-127L · 124-135

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.11.18Austin Toros Spurs106 : 97Stockton Kings
2016.11.16Austin Toros Spurs115 : 92Stockton Kings
2016.03.19Austin Toros Spurs115 : 121Stockton Kings
2016.01.24Stockton Kings121 : 92Austin Toros Spurs
2016.01.03Austin Toros Spurs89 : 108Stockton Kings
2015.12.06Austin Toros Spurs137 : 132Stockton Kings
2015.12.02Stockton Kings106 : 115Austin Toros Spurs
2012.12.22Austin Toros Spurs97 : 98Stockton Kings